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The Psychology Behind Forex Success

Read Time: 10-12 minutes. 


Forex trading, with its promise of financial freedom and independence, has captivated the minds of millions around the globe. Yet, beneath the surface of charts, indicators, and currency pairs lies a complex landscape shaped not just by market dynamics but by the intricate workings of the human mind.  


Success is not solely dictated by market knowledge or technical prowess but by the ability to master one's own trading psychology. This article delves deep into the psyche of successful forex traders, exploring the mindset, habits, and strategies that set them apart from the rest.  


Whether you're a novice trader taking your first steps into the world of forex or an experienced investor seeking to enhance your trading performance, understanding the psychological aspects of trading is paramount to achieving lasting success. Join us as we unravel the mysteries of the human mind and discover the keys to unlocking your full potential in the forex market. 



Contents 


Defining Success in Forex Trading

The Role of Psychology in Trading

Characteristics of Successful Traders

Embracing Emotional Intelligence

Developing a Winning Mindset

The Psychology of Risk Management

Learning from Mistakes

Conclusion




Defining Success in Forex Trading


The concept of "success" in forex trading is a bit of a hot topic. Some see it as being all about the money, while others argue it's more about staying consistent, managing risks, and growing as a trader. Plus, success means different things to different people, so what floats one trader's boat might not do it for another.

A “successful” forex trader possesses discipline, focus, determination and emotional resilience. This enables them to take a calculated approach to their trading, ultimately producing a consistent performance over the long-term.

Every trader will encounter losses. It’s how you manage your risk that will determine your outcome from these losses. In addition to managing your risk, having a psychological plan in place to prevent your emotions from taking control is also important. For example, some day traders have a daily loss limit that, if reached, results in them walking away for the day and trading the next day. Others might have a psychological limit of 4 losing trades in a row and so forth.

A successful trader is ‘successful’ over the long-term. Making profits is only one piece of the puzzle. You cannot be successful in profiting over the long-term without being successful in risk management and psychological behaviour.

 

The Role of Psychology in Trading


At the heart of successful forex trading lies the understanding of one's own trading psychology and the ability to manage emotions effectively. 

The psychology of trading encompasses a range of factors, including emotional intelligence, mindset, and behaviour. Successful traders understand the importance of emotional regulation and employ strategies to remain calm and focused during times of market volatility. By developing self-awareness and cultivating a positive mindset, traders can overcome psychological barriers and make rational decisions based on analysis rather than emotion.

Characteristics of Successful Trader


Successful forex traders share common traits that set them apart from the rest. These include discipline, patience, adaptability, and a willingness to accept losses as part of the trading process. They approach the market with a clear plan, stick to their strategies, and remain unphased by short-term fluctuations.

Discipline is the most critical characteristic of successful traders. It involves following a trading plan meticulously, adhering to risk management principles, and avoiding impulsive decisions. Patience is also essential, as successful traders understand that success in forex trading is a marathon, not a sprint. They wait for high-probability trading opportunities and avoid chasing after quick profits.

Adaptability is another hallmark of successful traders. They recognise that the forex market is constantly evolving, and they adjust their strategies accordingly to stay ahead of the curve. Whether it's adapting to changing market conditions or refining their trading approach based on new information, successful traders remain flexible and open-minded.

In addition to the above, there are other catalysts outside of trading that contribute to the success of a trader. On, of which, is maintaining a good sleeping habit. With the forex market trading 24/5, it’s impractical for most traders to stay away all day and night. Sleep deprivation can cause many issues in all forms of life, and trading is no different.

Embracing Emotional Intelligence 


Emotional intelligence plays a pivotal role in forex trading, enabling traders to recognise and manage their emotions effectively. Successful traders cultivate self-awareness, self-regulation, and empathy, allowing them to make rational decisions even in high-pressure situations. By understanding their emotional triggers, they can maintain composure and avoid impulsive actions. 


Self-awareness involves recognising one's emotions and their impact on trading decisions. Successful traders are attuned to their emotional state and take proactive steps to prevent emotions from clouding their judgment. Self-regulation is the ability to control impulses and maintain discipline in the face of temptation. Successful traders develop strategies to manage stress, anxiety, and other negative emotions that can interfere with trading performance. 


Empathy is also important in forex trading, as it allows traders to understand the perspectives and motivations of other market participants. By putting themselves in the shoes of other traders, successful traders can anticipate market movements and react accordingly. Empathy also helps traders build relationships with other market participants, fostering collaboration and mutual respect. 


Successful traders also have an understanding of cognitive and confirmation biases. We recommend all traders read our two-part series on the 10 hidden biases here: 



Developing a Winning Mindset


A winning mindset is essential for success in forex trading. Successful traders maintain a positive attitude, focus on continuous improvement, and view challenges as opportunities for growth. They approach each trade with confidence, knowing that setbacks are temporary and part of the learning curve.

A winning mindset is characterised by several key traits, including optimism, determination, resilience, and good habits. Optimism involves maintaining a positive outlook, even in the face of adversity. Successful traders believe in their ability to succeed and remain confident in their trading approach, regardless of short-term setbacks.

Determination is the drive to succeed despite obstacles and setbacks. Successful traders are tenacious in pursuit of their goals and refuse to be deterred by temporary failures. They view challenges as opportunities for growth and approach them with a sense of determination and perseverance.

Resilience is the ability to bounce back from setbacks and adapt to changing circumstances. Successful traders understand that losses are inevitable in forex trading and view them as learning experiences rather than failures. They remain resilient in the face of adversity, quickly recovering from losses and maintaining their focus on long-term success.

And finally, building good habits is paramount to becoming a successful trader. “It takes 21 days to form a habit and 90 days to form a lifestyle”. Understand what your identity-based habits are and how to build them to your arsenal of tools to conquer the market.

The Psychology of Risk Management


Risk management is a cornerstone of successful forex trading, and mastering it requires a deep understanding of one's risk tolerance and the ability to make calculated decisions. Successful traders prioritise capital preservation and employ risk management strategies such as setting stop-loss orders, diversifying their portfolios, and sizing their positions appropriately. By limiting their exposure to risk, they can protect their capital and avoid catastrophic losses.

Effective risk management involves several key principles, including diversification, position sizing, and risk-reward ratio. Diversification involves spreading risk across multiple assets or currency pairs to reduce the impact of any single trade or market event. Successful traders diversify their portfolios to minimise risk and maximise returns over the long term.

Position sizing is the process of determining the appropriate amount of capital to allocate to each trade based on risk tolerance and market conditions. Successful traders carefully assess the potential risks and rewards of each trade and adjust their position sizes accordingly. By sizing their positions appropriately, they can minimise losses and maximise profits while preserving capital.

Risk-reward ratio is the ratio of potential profit to potential loss on a trade. Successful traders seek to maintain a favourable risk-reward ratio on each trade, typically aiming for a ratio of at least 2:1 or higher. By consistently seeking trades with a positive risk-reward ratio, they can achieve consistent profits over time while minimising losses.

Learning from Mistakes


Mistakes are inevitable in forex trading, but successful traders view them as valuable learning opportunities rather than failures. They analyse their trades objectively, identify areas for improvement, and adjust their strategies accordingly. By embracing a growth mindset, they continuously refine their skills and adapt to changing market conditions. Every mistake becomes a stepping stone towards greater proficiency and success.

Learning from mistakes involves several key steps, including reflection, analysis, and adaptation. Successful traders take the time to reflect on their trades and identify any patterns or recurring mistakes. They analyse their trading journals and performance metrics to gain insights into their strengths and weaknesses.

Based on their analysis, successful traders adapt their strategies and techniques to address any areas for improvement. They may seek out additional education or training, refine their trading approach, or implement new risk management strategies. By learning from their mistakes and making adjustments, they can improve their trading performance over time and achieve greater success in the forex market.

Conclusion


In the dynamic world of forex trading, success is not solely determined by market knowledge or technical prowess but by the ability to master one's own trading psychology. By understanding the psychological factors that influence trading behaviour, traders can develop the mindset, habits, and strategies necessary for long-term success.  

Remember, that everyone faces the same challenges in the markets. Only those who can overcome the psychological barriers in trading end up succeeding over the long-term. Sometimes in bizarre market conditions, or on an off day, it’s better to take a step back and examine why we’ve been behaving and thinking as we have. 


Whether you're a novice trader or an experienced investor, cultivating emotional intelligence, embracing risk management, and maintaining a winning mindset are key to thriving in the competitive forex market. As you embark on your trading journey, remember that success is not just about profits but about the journey of self-discovery and growth. 


12/04/2024
Beginners
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A Beginner’s Guide to Trading Forex

Read Time: 13 Minutes


Embarking on your forex trading journey might seem daunting at first, but fret not! We’ve put together all the information you need to get started. 


This guide is your friendly companion, packed with real-world examples, easy-to-grasp basics, newbie-friendly strategies, handy tips, and a step-by-step roadmap to kickstart your forex adventures.



Contents 


Introduction to Forex Trading

How the Forex Market Works

Getting started in Forex Trading

Developing a Strategy 

Practical Tips for Beginners

Resources for Further Learning



Introduction to Forex Trading


Foreign exchange trading, or forex trading, is the process of buying and selling currencies in the global financial markets. It is one of the largest and most liquid markets in the world, with an average daily trading volume estimated to exceed USD$7 trillion. Unlike traditional stock markets, forex trading operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, allowing traders to participate in the market at any time.


Understanding currency pairs


Forex trading involves the exchange of one currency for another at an agreed-upon price. This is done with the aim of profiting from fluctuations in exchange rates. Currencies are traded in pairs, where one currency is bought while the other is sold. The most commonly traded currency pairs, or ‘the majors’ as they’re more commonly referred to, include EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar), GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar), AUD/USD (Australian Dollar/US Dollar), NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar), USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen), USD/CAD (US Dollar/Canadian Dollar), and USD/CHF (US Dollar/Swiss Franc).


Examples of other currency pairs, most often referred to as “crosses”, are AUD/JPY (Australian Dollar/Japanese Yen), GBP/NZD (British Pound/New Zealand Dollar), EUR/CAD (Euro/Canadian Dollar) and so forth.


And finally, less-traded currency pairs are referred to as “exotics”. Examples of these include USD/TRY (US Dollar/Turkish Lira), USD/HUF (US Dollar/Hungarian Forint). It’s important to note that exotic pairs tend to have wider spreads and higher volatility compared to major and minor pairs.


Uses of the forex market


The forex market is used by many players, for many different reasons. Retail traders aim at buying or selling a currency to take advantage of short-term fluctuations in price, whereas corporates who conduct regular international trade often use the forex market to hedge against their local currency weakening.


Large-scale players such as hedge funds or investment firms, will use the foreign exchange market to take advantage of divergences in interest rates between two nations in the form of a carry trade.


For more information on the types of forex trading, head to Part Four.


Reading Currency Pair Quotes


Currency pair quotes consist of two prices: the bid price and the ask price. The bid price represents the price at which you can sell the base currency, while the ask price represents the price at which you can buy the base currency. The difference between the bid and ask prices is known as the spread, which represents the broker's profit margin.


In forex trading, currency pairs are quoted in pips, short for "price interest point," representing the smallest possible price movement. For most major currency pairs, prices are quoted with four decimal points, indicating a change of 1/100 of one percent or 1 basis point. However, the Japanese Yen is an exception, trading with only two decimal points.


For instance, if the bid price for the EUR/USD pair is quoted as 1.19040, this breakdown refers to the five decimal places displayed on the market watch.


Pips EURUSD

How the Forex Market Works


In order to trade the foreign exchange market effectively, you need to understand the nuts and bolts of how it works.


The forex market is decentralised, meaning that there is no central exchange where all transactions take place. Instead, trading occurs over-the-counter (OTC) through a global network of banks, financial institutions, and individual traders. Some of the larger players in the forex market are Deutsche Bank, UBS, Citi Bank, RBS and more.


Prices are determined by supply and demand dynamics, with exchange rates fluctuating based on economic indicators, geopolitical events, and market sentiment.


How the system works


Market makers are key players in the forex world. They establish both the buying (bid) and selling (ask) prices, which are visible to everyone on their platforms. Their role extends to facilitating transactions with a diverse clientele, including banks and individual traders. By consistently quoting prices, they inject liquidity into the market. As counterparties, market makers engage in every trade, ensuring a seamless flow: when you sell, they buy, and vice versa.


Electronic Communications Networks (ECNs) play a crucial role in forex trading by aggregating prices from various market participants like banks, market makers, and fellow traders. They showcase the most competitive bid and ask quotes on their platforms, drawing from this pool of prices. While ECN brokers also act as counterparts in trades, they differ from market makers in their settlement approach rather than fixed pricing. Unlike fixed spreads, ECN spreads fluctuate based on market activity, sometimes even hitting zero during peak trading times, especially with highly liquid currency pairs like the majors.


Direct Market Access (DMA) empowers buy-side firms to directly access liquidity for securities they aim to buy or sell through electronic platforms offered by third-party providers. These firms, clients of sell-side entities like brokerages and banks, maintain control over trade execution while leveraging the infrastructure of sell-side firms, which may also function as market makers.


Straight Through Processing (STP) represents a significant leap in trading efficiency, transitioning from the traditional T+3 settlement to same-day settlement. One of its notable advantages is the reduction of settlement risk. By expediting transaction processing, STP enhances the likelihood of timely contract settlement. Its core objective is to streamline transaction processing by electronically transmitting information, eliminating redundant data entry and enabling simultaneous dissemination to multiple parties when necessary.


Market Makers Forex


Getting Started in Forex Trading


Choosing a Broker


When selecting a forex broker, it's essential to not only consider the fees, but also regulatory compliance, trading platform, and customer support. Look for brokers regulated by reputable authorities such as the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US.


Here at Fusion Markets we’re dedicated to offering a quality service with an affordable fee structure. You can learn more about trading forex or view our licences


Setting Up Your Trading Account


Once you've chosen a broker, the next step is to open a trading account. This typically involves completing an online application, submitting identification documents, and funding your account. Forex brokers offer various account types to suit different trading preferences, including standard accounts, mini accounts, and demo accounts for practice trading.


Before risking real money, practice trading with a demo account to familiarise yourself with the trading platform and test your trading strategy in a simulated environment. Demo accounts allow you to gain valuable experience without the risk of financial loss. We also offer demo trading for those who want to test the water first.


Developing a Strategy


Identify Your Trading Style


Before developing a trading strategy, it's essential to identify your trading style, whether it's day trading, swing trading, or position trading. Your trading style will dictate the timeframe you trade on and the types of setups you look for in the market.


Below are the types of pros and cons of each trading style:


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Types of Analysis


Fundamental Analysis


Unlike technical analysis, which primarily relies on historical price data, fundamental analysis examines economic indicators, monetary policies, geopolitical events, and other macroeconomic factors to gauge the strength and direction of a currency's movement.


Central to fundamental analysis is the understanding that currency prices are ultimately driven by supply and demand dynamics, which in turn are influenced by broader economic conditions. For example, factors such as interest rates, inflation rates, GDP growth, unemployment levels, and trade balances can all impact a currency's value.


One of the key concepts in fundamental analysis is interest rate differentials. Central banks use interest rates as a tool to control inflation and stimulate economic growth. Currencies with higher interest rates tend to attract more investors seeking higher returns on their investments, leading to an appreciation in their value relative to currencies with lower interest rates. Traders closely monitor central bank announcements and economic reports to anticipate changes in interest rates and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.


Another important aspect of fundamental analysis is the assessment of economic indicators. These indicators provide insights into the health of an economy and can influence currency prices. For example, strong GDP growth and low unemployment rates are typically associated with a robust economy and may lead to appreciation in the currency. Conversely, high inflation or rising unemployment may weaken a currency.


Geopolitical events can also have a significant impact on currency prices. Political instability, conflicts, trade tensions, and other geopolitical factors can create uncertainty in the market and cause fluctuations in currency prices. Traders must stay informed about geopolitical developments and assess their potential impact on currency markets.


While fundamental analysis provides valuable insights into the long-term trends and direction of currency markets, it is important to note that currency prices can also be influenced by short-term factors and market sentiment. Therefore, traders often use a combination of fundamental and technical analysis to make informed trading decisions.



Technical Analysis


Technical analysis involves studying historical price data and using various charting tools and indicators to identify patterns and trends. Common technical analysis tools include moving averages, trendlines, and oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Traders use technical analysis to make short-term trading decisions based on price action and market momentum.


Technical analysis is a cornerstone of forex trading, offering traders a systematic approach to interpreting market dynamics and making informed trading decisions based on historical price movements and market statistics. Unlike fundamental analysis, which focuses on economic indicators and macroeconomic factors, technical analysis relies solely on price data and trading volume to forecast future price movements.


At its core, technical analysis is based on the efficient market hypothesis, which posits that all relevant information is already reflected in an asset's price. Therefore, by analysing past price movements, traders believe they can identify recurring patterns and trends that may indicate potential future price directions.


One of the fundamental concepts in technical analysis is that of support and resistance levels. Support represents a price level where buying interest is sufficiently strong to prevent the price from falling further, while resistance is a level where selling pressure is sufficient to halt an upward price movement. Traders use these levels to identify potential entry and exit points for their trades.


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Example of support and resistance areas on EURUSD Daily chart


Another key tool in technical analysis is chart patterns, which are formed by the recurring movements of prices over time. Common chart patterns include triangles, flags, and head and shoulders formations. By recognising these patterns, traders attempt to predict future price movements and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.


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In addition to chart patterns, technical analysts also utilise technical indicators to aid in their analysis. These indicators are mathematical calculations based on price and volume data and are used to identify trends, momentum, volatility, and other aspects of market behavior. Popular technical indicators include moving averages, oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and trend-following indicators such as the Average Directional Index (ADX).


While technical analysis is a powerful tool for forex traders, it is not without its limitations. Critics argue that technical analysis is subjective and prone to interpretation bias, as different analysts may draw different conclusions from the same set of data. Moreover, technical analysis does not account for fundamental factors such as economic news and geopolitical events, which can have a significant impact on currency prices.


Despite these limitations, technical analysis remains an indispensable tool for forex traders worldwide. By understanding and applying technical analysis principles, traders can gain valuable insights into market trends and dynamics, allowing them to make more informed trading decisions and improve their overall trading performance.

 


Risk Management


Setting Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders


Stop-loss orders are used to limit losses by automatically closing a trade at a predetermined price level. Take-profit orders, on the other hand, are used to lock in profits by closing a trade when the price reaches a specified target. By using stop-loss and take-profit orders, traders can manage risk and control their downside exposure.


Position Sizing


Position sizing involves determining the appropriate amount of capital to risk on each trade based on factors such as account size, risk tolerance, and the probability of success. A common rule of thumb is to risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital on any single trade to preserve capital and avoid significant drawdowns.

 

Your Strategy


Once you’ve determine what style of trading would suit you best, you now need to develop a strategy. There are thousands of different strategies out there so you have the choice of learning one from someone else, or developing your own.


Regardless, some common strategies include:


Trend Following Strategies


Trend following strategies in forex trading involve identifying and capitalising on established market trends. Traders employing this approach aim to enter positions in the direction of the prevailing trend, whether it's upward (bullish) or downward (bearish), and ride the momentum for as long as possible. These strategies typically utilise technical indicators, such as moving averages and trendlines, to confirm the direction of the trend and determine optimal entry and exit points. The goal of trend following strategies is to capture significant portions of a trend's movement while minimising losses during market reversals.


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NZDUSD Daily Chart showing optimal entry points to go short during a bearish trend.



Range-bound strategies


Range-bound strategies in forex trading focus on exploiting price movements within defined ranges or boundaries. Traders employing this approach identify periods when a currency pair is trading within a relatively narrow price range, bounded by support and resistance levels. Instead of following a trend, range-bound traders seek to buy near support and sell near resistance, aiming to profit from the price being restricted to the range highs and lows.


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USDJPY 15min chart with optimal buy and sell signals for a range-bound strategy



Breakout Strategies


Breakout trading strategies in forex involve capitalising on significant price movements that occur when an asset's price breaks through predefined support or resistance levels. Traders employing this approach wait for a clear breakout from the established range and then enter positions in the direction of the breakout, anticipating continued momentum in that direction. Breakout traders typically use technical indicators, such as trendlines, moving averages, and volatility measures, to identify potential breakout opportunities and confirm the strength of the breakout. The goal of breakout trading strategies is to capture rapid price movements and profit from the subsequent price trend.


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Example of an opportune entry for a bullish breakout trade on EURUSD 4-hour chart


The key to developing a strategy that works for you is by studying the charts and thinking about what makes sense to you. If you think patterns make sense as they identify areas of consolidation which can lead to a breakout, then pattern trading could be a good fit for you.


It’s important for any trader to stick with their chosen strategy and not switch strategies every time they encounter a losing streak.


Practical Tips for Beginners


 

Maintain a Trading Journal


Keeping a trading journal allows traders to track their performance, analyse their trades, and identify areas for improvement. A trading journal should include details such as entry and exit points, trade rationale, risk-reward ratio, and emotional state. By reviewing past trades, traders can learn from their mistakes and refine their trading strategies over time.

 

Avoid Overleveraging


While leverage can amplify profits, it also increases the risk of significant losses. Avoid overleveraging by using leverage cautiously and only trading with capital you can afford to lose. A general rule is to keep leverage levels below 10:1 to mitigate risk effectively. The best position is cash. You should ensure you’re only taking the most high-probability set-ups that are in-line with your strategy.


Stay Disciplined


Maintain discipline in your trading approach by sticking to your trading plan and avoiding emotional decision-making. Avoid chasing losses or deviating from your strategy based on fear or greed. Consistency and discipline are key to long-term success in forex trading. Sometimes it’s best to walk away from the charts and come back the next day with a clearer head.


Manage Emotions Effectively


Trading can be emotionally challenging, with the potential for both euphoria and despair. Learn to manage your emotions effectively by practicing mindfulness techniques, maintaining a positive mindset, and taking regular breaks from the market. Remember that losses are a natural part of trading, and it's essential to stay resilient and focused on your long-term goals.


We highly recommend reading our article on the Top 10 Hidden Biases here.



Be realistic with your expectations


Trading can be very lucrative, but it can also be very costly. Traders should be realistic in their expectations – what % will you aim for each month? How much are you going to risk? Risking 20% of your equity per trade will be great on winning trades, but it won’t take long for you to eradicate your entire balance on a handful of losses. Whereas risking 1% equity per trade will allow you to conserve as much capital as possible, whilst still gaining 1%+ per winning trade.



Resources for Further Learning


To continue your forex trading education, consider exploring the following resources:


  • Books: "Currency Trading for Dummies" by Brian Dolan, "Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques" by Steve Nison, and "Market Wizards" by Jack D. Schwager.
  • Online Courses: Investopedia Academy, Udemy, and Coursera offer a variety of forex trading courses for beginners and advanced traders.
  • Forums and Communities: Join online forums and communities such as Forex Factory, BabyPips and TradingView to connect with other traders, share ideas, and learn from experienced professionals.

 

Ready to get started?


Sign up for a free Demo account with us today.











06/03/2024
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Power of Identity-based habits for a trader

“It takes 21 days to form a habit and 90 days to form a lifestyle”. 


Most of us have probably heard of that quote already. It sounds simple, right? Who would have thought that you only needed three weeks to build a habit? 

Imagine how much better our lives could be after a year with plenty of good habits that we want to adopt.  


Whether you want to improve your physical health or performance in the financial markets, adopting good habits is the way to achieve it. 

Unfortunately, we’ve all heard the not-so-successful stories. A New Year’s Resolution falls off after three days, leading to an initially motivated person being the same as he was a year ago. 


There are 52 weeks in a year. If it takes three weeks to build a habit, you should have formed 17 good habits by then. If only it was that easy! 

 

Why is it important to build habits? 


Your habits are your small, everyday actions and decisions, and the sum of your habits defines your life. 


Good habits form the foundation for a good lifestyle. For example, exercising regularly and getting enough sleep are good habits examples. Conversely, bad habits build up to form a bad lifestyle. Eating junk food every day is an example. 


Who you are and where you are right now is simply the outcome of all your habits. Your overall health is the result of your eating and exercise habits.  

Your trading mindset and your performance in the financial markets are the results of your trading habits. 


You’ll notice that the most successful traders don’t just make good trading decisions; they have good trading habits that form the foundation for their decisions.  
 
But when you’re starting out, we think one simple habit to instill in yourself is one associated with your identity.  

 

What are identity-based habits? 


Identity-based habits are habits that are based on who we are or who we want to be.  

Imagine a circle with two other circles inside it, like an onion with layers. In this case, we have three layers. 


The outermost circle are outcome-based habits. In this circle, we focus on the what. What do I want to do? What do I want to happen? For example, an outcome-based habit could be, “I want to lose 5kg this month.” 


The middle circle is performance-based habits. Here, we focus on the how. So in the same weight loss example, a performance-based habit could be changing your gym routine, your diet, or how often your workout.  


The inner circle, the most important circle, is where identity-based habits are. Here, we focus on the who. Who am I as a forex trader? Who do I want to be? These are purely intrinsically based.  


A person who wants to lose weight would adopt an identity of, “I am a person who moves more,” or “I am a person with a healthy weight and a healthy lifestyle. This is what a healthy person does, so I will do this, too.” 

Identity-based habits go deeper than outcomes and involve your worldview, beliefs, and perception about yourself. 

All three kinds of habits are connected with one another. Your identity influences how you do things. This, in turn, affects what you achieve. 


The problem is, most of us are too concerned with outcomes. As a result, our habits fall off pretty quickly because we didn’t have the foundation. 

Remember the New Year’s resolution example? Those people don’t usually achieve their resolutions because they focus too much on the results when they should be focusing on their identity first. 

Identity goes far beyond just one’s lifestyle. Even politicians revolve their discussions around people’s identities (identity politics). 

Who you identify as affects not just what you do but what you believe in and how you see the world around you. 

 

How does having an identity benefit your trading? 


Having an identity forms a solid foundation for your actions and your habits. 

Imagine two forex traders with a fair amount of trading experience. For September, they set a target profit: $5,000. 

The first trader does not have an identity; he just cares about the outcome. He looks at the $5,000 profit goal and focuses only on that. He analyzes each trade carefully, but there is no real consistency to it.  


He gets frustrated every time forex trading results in a loss because it makes it harder to achieve his desired outcome. 

On the other hand, the second trader has an identity. He identifies as a good forex trader. The $5,000 goal profit is not the real goal because he knows that it’s something that good forex traders have. 


Instead, he focuses on being a good forex trader. He asks himself, “I am a good forex trader, and what does a good forex trader practice?” 

From here, he studies not just the financial markets but also the best traders. He adopts a good trading mindset and trading psychology and starts to build trading habits. He does this not because he wants to earn a $5,000 profit but because he wants to identify with what a ‘good’ forex trader does, he thinks more in terms of systems than outcomes.  


Who do you think will be more likely to reach their target? 


Of course, it’s trader #2. He goes beyond focusing on the outcomes. He actually lays the foundation by building good habits and adopting the proper trading mindset. He does all this because he has an identity, something which trader #1 does not have. 

 

Building identity-based habits for traders 


To build identity-based habits, the first thing you should do is look inward. Don’t worry about outcomes just yet. 

Instead of asking yourself, “What do I want?” You should ask yourself, “Who am I?” or “Who do I want to be?” 

Instead of focusing on a target profit, start with your identity. 


Do you want to be a successful forex trader? What do these people do that you can? 

Successful forex traders usually keep a journal to track their successes and failures. They also keep a balanced lifestyle, are aware of their biases, get enough sleep, and adapt to change. There are plenty of other habits, but these examples are good for a start. 


The best thing you could do if you’re starting out as a forex trader and reading this is to constantly ask yourself “What would a good forex trader do right now”? Would they be learning more about the markets or practicing on a demo or would they be watching Netflix? Simple questions to ask but the power of your life is determined by the power of the questions you ask yourself.  


It would be good to adapt all these too, but remember you’re not adopting these habits because of what you want. You’re adapting these habits because of who you are. 


Identity-based habits last longer and lead to more success because they involve a deeper part of you.  


When you inevitably encounter setbacks and make mistakes, you won’t get too frustrated with yourself and make emotional, impulsive decisions because you know that your habits are in the right place. 



10/09/2021
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Your New Secret Trading Weapon: Sleep

Sleepless nights are a common predicament for most traders. It is the only time you are not consciously screening the markets. As stressful as it can be to sleep with volatile open positions, it is extremely important that you beat the urge to make impulsive moves and that you give your brain some rest.


Since the forex markets run 24/5, most people barely get enough sleep while the markets are open. But this kind of lifestyle will ultimately lead you to make sub-optimal biased trading decisions.


Depending on which part of the world you’re in, the markets might move the most while you should be asleep. For those here in Australia, we are sleeping while the US is in their trading day, which, when you have large open positions active in the market, can make it even more difficult to get a good sleep.


But here’s the thing most traders are not thinking about. Getting a good night’s sleep every day is just as crucial as your fundamental and technical knowledge. Still, many of us tend to overlook a good rest, thinking we can survive on far less than we need. Let’s look at why sleep is essential for forex trading and how to cultivate a good sleep routine.

 

Why is sleep important for traders?

Sleep plays a big part in our mental wellness, which then affects our decision-making for the day.When you’re placing trades that involve vast amounts of money along with prices that change every second, you want the part of your brain that makes decisions (the pre-frontal cortex, if we’re being precise) to be in tiptop shape.


Ask any elite athlete what one of the most essential tools they have for recovery is, and it’s often sleep. Lebron James, for example, reportedly sleeps as much as 10 hours a night. Now I know what you’re thinking, “Well, I’m not an elite athlete and I’m certainly not Lebron”. But you are trying to obtain peak (trading) performance, right?


Trading involves competent risk management. Before you execute those trades, you want to have a clear picture of the risks and benefits so that you can make calculated and well-informed decisions. When you don’t allow your body and mind to rest well, your practical decision-making is overshadowed by restless behavior patterns.


Basically, good sleep keeps you sharp and productive. On the other hand, studies show that lack of sleep tends to impair decision-making involving complex factors and unexpected occurrences, which occurs quite a lot when the markets are open. By having good sleep regularly, you allow your brain to make unimpaired decisions compared to when you are sleep-deprived.


And speaking of the brain…  

What’s the science behind it?


First, let’s look at what goes on in your brain when you sleep.

Throughout the day, when you’re awake, the brain accumulates metabolic waste. You don’t even have to exercise or move around to accumulate it. Your body already expends energy by just keeping your basic functions running, like breathing and pumping blood.


In using energy, metabolic waste builds up in various parts of your body, your brain included. In time, the buildup can interfere with the peak functions of your brain. When you sleep, your brain sees the perfect opportunity to do some house cleaning. The brain has a built-in waste removal system which is called the glymphatic system.

Sure, the glymphatic system also works while you’re awake, but the cleanup process is at least twice as fast when you’re asleep. This is because your brain knows that there’s not much going on in your body, which allows it to focus on clearing up.


This is why you always feel refreshed and focused when you wake up after a good night’s sleep. And since mental wellness plays a huge part in your trading psychology and your trading mindset, you always want to be in this “clear” state whenever you’re trading. When you’re sleep-deprived, the part of your brain in charge of your fight or flight reactions — the amygdala — is far more stimulated than it would be when you’ve had a normal amount of sleep.


What does this mean for you as a trader?


Well, try to go back to the last time your fight or flight reaction (or amygdala hijack) got triggered. Maybe you were in a disagreement with a colleague or a friend, or you were in an emergency. Wasn’t it hard to stay focused because you felt like a thousand things were going on at once? Now think about how you feel when you’re sleep-deprived and a trade isn’t going your way and a new announcement means you need to think about the implications and what’s next for the market. Are you at your best cognitively at this point? Probably not.


A stimulated amygdala makes it hard to make logical decisions. It also cuts off access to your pre-frontal cortex, which is in charge of making logical decisions. And as forex traders, our trading mindset should always be governed by logical, not emotional, decisions.


Unfortunately, your brain is more likely to go into fight or flight mode with a lack of sleep. You aren’t thinking or seeing the market clearly. Maybe you’re paranoid about your trade, or you see things that aren’t there, or maybe you enter or exit the trade too early.
  

How does a good night’s sleep benefit your trading?

A good night’s sleep gives you good preparation for the trades you’ll be making the next day. Your brain is clearer, and your mind is sharper. When you look at the charts, you’ll be less likely to be influenced by sudden price fluctuations, which we know are all too common in financial markets, particularly in forex trading.


By consistently making good forex trading decisions, you’re more likely to see bigger gains in your trades.


In fact, one study  suggested that sleep-deprived forex traders had relatively lower returns because their decision-making skills were affected.


A good night’s sleep also promotes a healthy work-life balance. You may be a forex trader, but it’s also important to look into your personal health outside the financial markets. You feel more energized and alert when you are awake, allowing you to see new opportunities in the market that an otherwise tired trader might not. This could be your edge.  


Tips for sleeping better

Now that we’ve talked about why sleep is important, let’s talk about developing good sleeping habits.

First, reduce your screen exposure before bedtime. Blue light keeps our brains alert, and this is the kind of light that you usually see from your phones and your living room lights.


Put the phone down and shut off your computer. As hard as it is, that will mean trying to keep your eyes off the charts. Try having herbal tea (Peppermint, chamomile is best for relaxing), reading a physical book (to avoid more screentime), or doing something that relaxes you to get your brain ready for bed. If you really must check your phone or computer late at night, try using apps that make the screen appear “warmer,” giving it an orange tint or via “dark mode” starting from a couple of hours before your bedtime.


Orange lighting is less harsh compared to blue light, which makes it easier to eventually fall asleep.

Second, if you can afford it, separate your workspace from your bedroom. You want your brain to associate your bedroom with rest and relaxation so that as soon as you walk into the bedroom, your brain “gets” it and starts powering down. Playing on your phone or laptop in bed is likely confusing your brain.


Third, keep your room to a cool temperature. Ideally, between 18-20 degrees Celsius.


Finally, one of the worst things you can do is get up and check your phone or computer for what’s happening in the market. The screentime on your eyes, the adrenaline rush, and more will only cause you to make an emotional decision.


If it makes you feel better, a stop-loss or a take profit takes a lot of the unknowns out of the equation. Your trade will either have one of three things happen: It’s still open, it’s been closed with profit, or closed with a loss. By leaving the outcome to the market, you are more likely to think too heavily about it all through the night.


Forex trading is not all about the technical and analytical aspects. A sound body complements a sound mind. You should take care of both aspects to make sure you are at your best. In our view, a well-rested trader will likely exceed a sleep-deprived trader that’s not at peak cognitive performance.

26/08/2021
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Nine Simple Trading Rules You Need to Know


If you want to cross the line between being an investor and being a trader, there are some things you should keep in mind. The rewards are higher, but there is much more at stake. You could lose hundreds, if not thousands of dollars in a day. I have been trading on MetaTrader for years. I have watched people gain and lose fortunes multiple times. Throughout those years, I have come up with essential truths to always keep in mind when trading:  





1.   Trading is both easy and difficult.  


There is a misleading simplicity when it comes to trading. As long as you diversify, stick to your strategy, never go all in, and always secure your profits, you can stick around for very long. 

However, trading becomes difficult because of the human aspect and our hidden biases. We tend to get greedy and blinded by small gains or by big losses. We tend to abandon our long-term strategies because of what we see in the short term, and this is where Rule Number 2 comes in… 

 

2.   Psychology is everything   


Trading is not all about watching the charts and the news 24/7. There is a more significant, underrated aspect of trading: your mindset. How sure are you that you can stick to your strategy even though you just lost $4,000.00 yesterday? 

Forex trading will expose you to the highest highs and the lowest lows. Throughout all these, you have to keep a stable mentality and not let impulsive decisions take control. You can have the best strategy in the world, but if you can’t learn to handle your emotional state, you won’t go far.   

The better you are at controlling your emotional impulses, the more successful you will be in trading and finance in general.  


3.   Everything in moderation, including moderation   


The money you are trading should never comprise all your assets. As they say, only trade as much as you are willing to lose. In the world of trading, you will come across individuals with stories of overnight riches because they went all-in. But that can only last for so long.  

Try to resist the temptation of being greedy and remember that wealth is not built overnight. It requires consistency and time. 

Of course, there will be exceptions when you have to break this rule, especially if you see huge opportunities present themselves in the market. However, the general rule still stands; practice moderation in most things, including trading.  


4.   Risk and reward  


Trading is a high-risk, high-reward game. While you might get caught up in the rewards, it's also important to be grounded by the risks. 

The fact that you can make $10,000.00 in two hours also means that you can lose $20,000.00 in the same two hours. If you are a beginner, you might want to stick to low-cost trading for now so that you also risk less money. 

Once you begin gaining experience, you can then start moving to larger trade sizes or expanding into different asset classes.  


5.   Leverage is your best friend and your worst enemy  


To leverage means to trade using borrowed money. It can be your best friend because you can earn more than you ordinarily could if you get a good trade. However, it can also be your worst enemy because if you are on the wrong end of a losing trade, you end up losing more than you might be capable of paying. 


As a general rule, avoid leveraging yourself too hard (think 1:500 leverage), especially if you are a new trader. Most traders getting started should think between 1:30 and 1:100 to get the hang of it. 


6.   Understand what game you are playing  


By now, we’ve already established that trading has risks. Forex trading, while playing by slightly different rules, is no exception. No matter what kind of trader you are, you should always understand and mentally prepare.  

Before you even make your first trade, even if you are trading with low-cost brokers like Fusion, you have to accept that while you can make money, you can also lose money. 


Too many think that trading is a get-rich-quick scheme, and all they must do is sign up on MetaTrader or any Australian forex broker, make a few clicks, and watch the money roll in. These are the kinds of people who end up losing money in their first week. 

The truth is, trading may be quite lucrative for some, but it requires hours and hours of studying, just like if you’re training to be a pilot, you aren’t expected to fly the fastest fighter jet before getting some practice.  


There are complicated analytical methods like technical analysis and fundamental analysis that professionals use to determine the value of a stock or a foreign currency. This way, they know exactly when to buy or when to sell. 

If you really want to get into trading, be it stock trading or forex trading, you have to put in the work and start learning. Remember, real money is at stake here.  


7.   Be responsible for your own trading.  


You might come across plenty of gurus and recommendations online, but at the end of the day, the only person gaining or losing money, is you? 

Remember that whatever happens to your trades will only affect you. It will not affect anyone else's portfolio, so there is no use blaming others if you lose money. 

Similar to #6, remember that different players in the market play different games. Your friend Michael who introduced you to forex might be a scalper taking short-term trades, whereas you might feel more comfortable as a long-term trader, which doesn’t make one better than the other. You do need to know what game YOU are playing, though.  

If you take responsibility for your trades, it is more likely that you will treat your failures as learning experiences to do better next time. Failure is the best teacher, and that leads us right to Rule Number 8….  


8.   The best investment: Your own learning   


Indeed, the best investment you can make is in yourself. If you are beginning to dip your toes into the world of finance, you might want to stay away from the markets (for now) and start investing in books and learning materials to give you an edge. Or practice slowly with a demo forex account or a small live account to test.  

The gains you can make from trading and investing may last you a week or a month, but the gains you make from investing in your own education will last you a lifetime. 

The more knowledge and information you have when you trade, the more likely you will be making successful trades in the future.   


9.   Don't be crazy  


Trading will give you plenty of temptations. You might think that you can buy low now and sell at a really high price tomorrow, so you want to pour in your life's savings all in one go. 

Stop. 

Trading requires discipline, and there's no reason to go crazy all in one go because of speculation. There is much to learn in the world of trading. 

You will be in here for a long time, so take it slow and enjoy the ride.  

29/07/2021
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Leverage: the 9th wonder of the world?

Albert Einstein was once asked what the most powerful force in the universe was. After a thoughtful pause and not without a sense of humour, he replied that it was compound interest, which he would later describe as being the world's eighth wonder.


If we were looking for a candidate to fill the number nine spot on that list, we could easily pick another innovation from the world of finance; leverage.


If we look at a dictionary definition for the term, we find the following.


"The use of credit to enhance one's speculative capacity"


The concept of financial leverage is probably most familiar to us in a mortgage loan, a loan secured against a property.


To secure a mortgage, it’s normal for the buyer or buyers of the property to put down a deposit that acts as their “skin in the game”.


A bank or other lender finances the purchase price balance through a loan that runs over a fixed term, usually measured in 25-30 years.


This is made at a known or referenced rate of interest, which may be fixed or variable over the loan term. For example, the rate may be set at central bank base rates +X%.


The buyer of the property finances the loan through the payment of interest, which compounds over time to make the lender a healthy return on their loan, assuming all goes well.


The ever-present longevity of a mortgage and the nature of its commitment can be summed up through a literal translation of the word mortgage from the French, where it means “death pledge”.


Of course, that rather sombre definition only looks at the liability side of the transaction. It doesn’t take into account the opposite side of the coin, and that is the asset that the mortgage is taken out over.


All things being equal, the asset will have appreciated over the lifetime of the loan. And in modern times, it will have often done so to such an extent that its value now exceeds the loan's original value.


Under those circumstances, the death grip is loosened and may even be released completely if the property’s owners choose to sell it and repay the outstanding mortgage balance.


That’s all very interesting, but what has any of this got to do with trading and investing?


Well, just over 20 years ago, traders in London had the great idea to introduce leverage into OTC financial instruments such as CFDs and rolling spot FX.


This effectively democratised the availability of leverage in trading by providing it to the man in the street who could now gear up their trading account and speculate on the markets in a way that wasn’t possible before this point.


The availability of leverage in margin FX and CFD trading was a marketing team's dream. A whole new industry sprung up to offer these products (which had previously been the preserve of hedge funds) to retail traders.  


Eventually, competition for that business was such that brokers began to raise the levels of leverage that they offered to their customer base.


Put simply, that meant that traders could control an ever-larger parcel of stock, an equity index or FX pairs with a smaller and smaller deposit, which brings us to today.


It all sounds great. Because, of course, if your position was leveraged 500 times, then so was your P&L. A dollar profit became 500 dollars.


Well, not so fast because leverage is a two-way street that magnifies profits and losses.


And whilst leveraged positions in profits create equity in your account, leveraged positions that are in loss eat away at your account balance and ultimately undermine it completely.


Events in the spring of 2021 highlighted exactly why traders need to respect and control their use of leverage, and the consequences of not doing so could not be clearer.


Bill Hwang of Archegos Capital Management, a hedge fund turned family office with $20 billion in assets, effectively evaporated overnight thanks to a combination of risk concentration and excessive leverage.  


Put simply, the fund had too much money chasing too few positions.


You might have thought that having $20 billion to invest would mean that you wouldn’t need access to leverage, but Archegos Capitals strategy was to leverage that vast sum by as much as 7x times through a network of banks and brokers. The trick was that none of these banks knew just how much leverage the other parties had offered Archegos.


But no one, not even a hedge fund of that scale, is bigger than the markets, and when some of these positions fell in price and value, the fund’s brokers asked for additional margin to shore up its trading accounts.



By this stage, the banks were concerned about their own liabilities and whilst they were talking to each other about they should proceed, one or two of the banks started to try and close out the positions they held for the hedge fund.


Once word got out that this was happening, it became a free-for-all, and the stocks that Archegos held plummeted. And that, of course, created even larger margin calls that the fund had no hope of meeting.


Below is Archegos' biggest positions in their fund and how quickly things folded within a couple of days after the music stopped. ViacomCBS, a respected US media company, fell by over 50% in 2 trading sessions.




These events reinforced another lesson for traders - the one that says the end of the party is never pretty if everyone heads for the exit simultaneously.


It also reminded us of how an imbalance between supply and demand can influence prices (Gamestop or AMC, anyone?)


You probably haven’t got $20 billion, but you do have your nest egg and trading capital that you worked hard to build up. Please don’t blow it by leveraging and concentrating your risk in one or two big positions.


A disciplined approach to money management and risk is the key to successful trading and investing. When you don’t use that disciplined approach, it often goes horribly wrong, as the former Hedge Fund Archegos Capital found out.


17/06/2021
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