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The Fibonacci Cheat Sheet

Read Time: 6-7 minutes

 

Essential Ratios Every Beginner Trader Should Know. The Fibonacci sequence and the golden ratio have long fascinated mathematicians, scientists, and artists. Their influence extends across every aspect in life and can be observed in nature, architecture, and even the financial markets. Fibonacci-based tools are readily available and can assist in identifying entry and exit points, retracement lengths and more.

   

What is Fibonacci and Why Does It Matter in Trading?

   

The Fibonacci sequence consists of a series of numbers where each value is the sum of the two preceding numbers, starting from 0 and 1. For example, 1+1=2, 1+2=3, 2+3=5, and so on. When we continue this pattern we get:

   

0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233...

   

Taking it one step further, if we observe the mathematical correlations between these numbers, we identify a range of ‘ratios’. For example, if we divide 21 by 34, we get 0.618%. If we divide 21 by the number two spots to the right (55), we get 38.2 and so on.

   

This mathematical constant appears in various natural and human-made structures, from spiral galaxies to architectural designs, and even nature.

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In trading, Fibonacci ratios can help analyse price action, pinpointing areas where market trends may pause, reverse, or accelerate. By learning to apply these ratios, you can identify potential support and resistance levels, retracement zones, and projected price targets, ultimately giving you better entries and exits on your trades.

   

Breaking Down the Key Fibonacci Ratios

   

The most widely used Fibonacci ratios in forex trading originate from the relationships between sequence numbers. As an example, some of the most commonly used in trading include:

   
         
  • 23.6% – A minor retracement level often observed in strong trends.
    •      
  • 38.2% – A commonly used retracement level where price corrections may occur.
    •      
  • 50% – Not an official Fibonacci ratio, but significant due to psychological factors.
    •      
  • 61.8% – The golden ratio, a crucial level for support and resistance.
    •      
  • 78.6% – A deeper retracement level where strong reversals may occur.
    •      
  • 161.8% – A common extension level used to forecast potential price targets.
    •    
   

These ratios are applied using Fibonacci retracements and extensions.

   

How to Use Fibonacci Retracements

 
 
   

We have explained Fibonacci retracements as one of the indicators that we have discussed here on our blog before. A trend is a significant price movement in one direction, followed by a price movement in the opposite direction, followed by a price movement in the direction of the initial trend. You can use Fibonacci retracement levels to determine where these pullbacks might find support or resistance. You can get better entries and/or exits on your trades by doing this.

 

Fibonacci Retracements

 

For example, during a bullish trend, price may retrace to the 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8% level before continuing higher. This can also be observed in a downtrend, where these levels can serve as potential swing points where price might pause or reverse before resuming its downward trend.

 

How to Use Fibonacci Extensions

 

While retracements focus on pullbacks, Fibonacci extensions project potential price targets beyond the original price movement, using the same ratios. These levels help estimate how far price may travel after a retracement completes – ultimately leading to better profit targets/exit points.

 

The 161.8% extension, often called the "golden mean," is one of the most significant levels. It frequently acts as a target in strong trends, marking potential areas where price may consolidate or reverse.

 

Extensions are particularly useful for setting profit targets, as they provide logical exit points based on prior price action.


A graph with a line and a dotted line AI-generated content may be incorrect.

 

Fibonacci Clusters: Combining Multiple Levels for Strong Trade Setups

 

A Fibonacci cluster forms when multiple Fibonacci levels from different price swings converge at a similar price point. These clusters can help identify the stronger swing points, which often lead to market reactions.

 

Traders often use these clusters for:

 
       
  • Identifying precise entry points
    •    
  • Setting stop-loss levels
    •    
  • Establishing profit targets


    •  




 
   

Figure 1 – AUDUSD Weekly Chart

   
   

For instance, if a 61.8% retracement from a major trend aligns with a 161.8% extension from a smaller move, the resulting zone becomes a high-probability trade area.

 

Step-by-Step Guide to Using Fibonacci in Your Trading

 

To effectively use Fibonacci techniques in forex trading, follow these steps:

 
       
  1. Identify Key Price Swings – Look for significant highs and lows as reference points for Fibonacci retracement or extension tools. It’s important that you’re drawing the tool using the correct swing high and lows of each move.
    2.    
  2. Plot Fibonacci Levels – Use charting software, such as MetaTrader or TradingView, to overlay Fibonacci levels on key price movements.
    3.    
  3. Look for Areas of Confluence – Check if the Fibonacci levels align with other technical indicators, such as moving averages, trendlines, support/resistance zones, or even other Fibonacci levels.
    4.    
  4. Observe Price Reactions – Monitor how the market responds to each Fibonacci level, looking for confirmation through price action signals like candlestick patterns.
    5.    
  5. Manage Risk Effectively – Define risk-reward parameters using Fibonacci-based stop-loss and take-profit levels.
    6.  
 

Final Thoughts

 

The Fibonacci sequence and golden ratio help to structure the way the market behaviour is analysed, and the major price levels are identified. You can enhance your technical analysis and, by result, decision-making, by applying Fibonacci retracements, extensions, and clusters.

 

However, it is crucial to mention that no tool is 100% accurate and that the use of Fibonacci tools can greatly enhance a sound trading strategy by providing more potential entry and exit points. However, like any other indicator, there are no guarantees, so it is recommended to look for a reaction and/or confirmation of each Fibonacci level before making the trade.


18/03/2025
Trading and Brokerage
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Index CFD Dividends | Week 10/03/25

Read time: 3 minutes.


Indicative Dividend Adjustments for Indices: Week Starting March 10th, 2025.


Index CFD Dividends | Week 10/03/25

* Please note these figures are quoted in the index point amount and are subject to change

 

What is a dividend?


Dividends are a portion of company earnings given to shareholders. As indices are often composed of individual shares, an index dividend pays out based on individual shares proportional to the index’s weighting.


Trading on a CFD Index does not create any ownership of the underlying stocks, or an entitlement to receive the actual dividends from these companies.

 

What is an ex-dividend date?


An ex-dividend date is the cut-off date a share must be owned in order to receive a dividend. If an investor buys a share after the ex-dividend date, then they will not be entitled to earn or pay the next round of dividends. This is usually one business day before the dividend.

 

Do dividends affect my position?


Share prices should theoretically fall by the amount of the dividend. If the company has paid the dividend with cash, then there is less cash on the balance sheet, so in theory, the company should be valued lower (by the amount of the dividend).


Due to the corresponding price movement of the stock index when the ex-dividend date is reached, Fusion must provide a 'dividend' adjustment to ensure that no trader is positively or negatively impacted by the ex-dividend event.

 

How will the dividend appear on my account?


The dividend will appear as a cash adjustment on your account. If your base currency is different from the currency the dividend is paid out in, then it will be converted at the live FX rate to your base currency.

 

Why was I charged a dividend?


Depending on your position, given you are holding your position before the ex-dividend date, you will either be paid or charged the amount based on the dividend. Traders shorting an index will pay the dividend, whereas traders who are long the index will be paid the dividend.

 

Why didn’t I receive my dividend?


You may not have received a dividend for a number of reasons:


- You entered your position after the ex-dividend date

- You are trading an index without dividend payments

- You are short an index


If you believe the reasons above do not apply to your position, please reach out to our support team at [email protected] and we’ll investigate further for you.




03/03/2025
Market Hours
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Upcoming Holidays in March 2025

Read time: 3 minutes.


This March, below are the upcoming holiday that will affect standard market hours. Please take the following holiday hours into account and adjust your positions accordingly.



Upcoming Holidays in March 2025

Please note the following changes are based on MT4 server time (GMT +2).  



What does this mean for you? 


If you trade the markets above then you’ll need to be aware of the days the market is closed or if there are changes to opening hours. Additionally, please note that there will be reduced liquidity and some spreads may widen on some products during these periods. If these are not markets you typically trade, then these changes will not affect you and you can continue trading as usual.  

 

Do I need to do anything? 


The main thing you need to do is be prepared for changes in market hours and ensure you have adjusted your positions accordingly. You must also remain aware of the potential changes to liquidity and spreads during this time. Please make sure your account has been sufficiently funded. Log into your Client Hub here to fund your account. 

 

Questions? 


Don’t worry we will still be working around the clock, our support team is available 24/7, so please reach out to us if you have any questions or concerns. 
 
Thanks for trading with Fusion Markets. Happy Holidays and Happy Trading.


03/03/2025
Market Analysis
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Strategic View: Planning For 2025

Read Time: 7 - 9 Minutes.


There’s already been some fantastic volatility in the forex market this year – mainly attributed to Trump, but also ongoing discussions around monetary policy in key economies. 


Even if you’re a short-term trader, it’s important to look ahead and form a strategy for the year. There’s currently a convergence of high U.S. real yields, central bank policies, and geopolitical risks that all traders need to keep on their radar. 


In this post, we will discuss the current themes for 2025, as well as identify ways in which we could capitalise on them. 


 

  1. The U.S. Dollar’s Strength and Global FX Implications 

The dominant theme in the FX market this year is the continued strength of the U.S. dollar (USD), fuelled by not only by Trump, but also high real interest rates and economic divergences.


Following what’s called the "red sweep" in the 2024 U.S. elections, markets have shifted expectations towards persistent USD strength in the first half of the year​. 


There’s several factors contributing to this trend: 


  • High U.S. Real Yields: Elevated interest rates in the U.S. continue to attract capital inflows, ultimately reinforcing the greenback’s strength. 

  • Diverging Monetary Policies: Whilst the Federal Reserve remains cautious about rate cuts, the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BOJ) are expected to ease policy further. 

  • Tariff Risks and Trade Policies: Anyone watching the headlines would be aware of Trump’s recent rampage on tariffs – these new tariffs could further support the USD by dampening foreign currency demand. 

Volatility Strategies will be the play here, with policy uncertainty and trade negotiations in the air, options-based strategies such as straddles or volatility swaps on USD pairs could become very attractive. 

 

2. Carry Trade Opportunities in High-Yielding Currencies 


With real interest rate differentials widening, carry trades remain a key theme in 2025. The market is favouring currencies with strong yield advantages, such as the U.S. dollar and select emerging market (EM) currencies. 


Key High-Yield Currencies: 

  • USD: The dollar’s rate advantage makes it a prime funding currency. 

  • CAD: Despite trade risks, Canada’s interest rate environment remains somewhat supportive. 

  • NOK: The Norwegian Krone has shown improved carry appeal, as a result of Norges Bank resisting an aggressive approach to rate cuts​. 



Trading Strategies: 

  • Long USD/MXN or USD/ZAR: With emerging market currencies under pressure due to trade risks and high U.S. rates, going long USD against the Mexican Peso (MXN) and South African Rand (ZAR) could prove to be profitable. 

  • Short CHF or JPY in Carry Trades: Both the Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen are likely to underperform against high-yielding currencies due to negative real rates​. This could provide some attractive carry trade opportunities. 

  • NOK/SEK Call Spread: As Norway’s interest rate stance is firmer than Sweden’s, NOK/SEK longs could offer potential upside​. 

 


3. The Euro’s Structural Weakness and Political Uncertainty 


The euro (EUR) remains vulnerable this year due to a combination of economic underperformance and political instability. 


Key Risks for the EUR: 

  • Interest Rate Divergence: The ECB is expected to continue cutting rates, whereas the Fed remains on hold, for now. 

  • Trade War Exposure: Europe is a primary target for new U.S. tariffs, which could add to the weakening of the Euro. 

  • German and French Political Uncertainty: Domestic political risks, including German elections and policy uncertainty in France, add further downside pressure to the euro​. 



Trade Idea: 


Short EUR/JPY 


A graph of a stock market AI-generated content may be incorrect. 

Figure 1 – EURJPY Weekly Chart 


Given Japan’s relatively stable policy outlook and Europe’s tariff risk, going short EUR/JPY remains a key trade. 



Long EUR Volatility 


A graph of a graph AI-generated content may be incorrect. 

Figure 2 – Euro Volatility Index, daily chart 


For options traders, the euro’s downside risks make long volatility positions an attractive hedge against geopolitical shocks. 

 


4. Commodity Currencies 


Commodity-linked currencies such as the Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar, and Norwegian Krone face some unique opportunities in 2025. 



The Oil Market’s Influence on FX 


Analysts are expecting crude oil markets to remain tight, with OPEC aiming to balance the supply and demand​. In doing so, this could lend support to oil-linked currencies such as CAD and NOK, provided that global demand remains resilient. 

Gold and Safe-Haven Flows 




A graph showing the price of a stock market AI-generated content may be incorrect. 

Figure 3 – XAUUSD (gold), daily chart 




Gold prices have surged in early 2025 – driven by fears of tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and central bank buying​. Whilst this supports the Australian Dollar to some extent, rising U.S. yields could ultimately cap AUD/USD upside. 



Trade Ideas: 

  • Long USD/CAD on Tariff Risks: The potential for broad U.S. tariffs on Canada could weaken the CAD, making long USD/CAD a defensive play over the long-term, especially given the bullish strength of the USD. 

  • Long Gold as a Hedge: With tariff risks escalating, gold remains a strong hedge opportunity against geopolitical uncertainty. 

 



5. Geopolitical Crossroads and FX Volatility 


Beyond macroeconomic fundamentals, geopolitical risks continue to hold the FX market at ransom in 2025. There’s potential for volatility to stem from: 


  • U.S.-China Trade Tensions: Renewed tensions from Trump could weigh on the Chinese Yuan (CNY) and ultimately spill over to other Asian FX markets, such as the AUD and NZD​. 

  • European Political Shocks: Elections in Germany and France could provide sharp moves in the EUR. 

  • Middle East and Energy Market Risks: Any disruptions to oil supply chains would adversely affect energy-linked currencies, such as the CAD. 

Trade Idea: 


Long USD/CNH 


A line graph with black and purple lines AI-generated content may be incorrect. 

Figure 4 – USDCNH, weekly chart 



Continued pressure on the Chinese economy and potential U.S. tariffs could push USD/CNH higher​. It would be wise to look for long opportunities above 7.375. 

 



Final Thoughts 


As we take on 2025, having an understanding of the key macroeconomic drivers, central bank policies, and geopolitical risks is no longer ideal, but necessary. 


  • USD strength remains a dominant theme, with potential for reversals in Q3 & Q4 this year.. providing that the Fed pivots. 

  • Carry trade opportunities favour high-yielding currencies, whilst funding currencies like JPY and CHF face ongoing pressure. 

  • The euro still remains vulnerable as a result of policy divergences and political uncertainty. 

  • Commodity currencies require a more careful approach – with CAD and NOK benefiting from oil strength, whilst AUD could be exposed to further downside risks. 

  • Geopolitical tensions add more ammunition to FX volatility – with the potential to either create more trading opportunities, or disrupt market structure.  


By keeping these key themes in mind, we’re able to form a more structured approach to 2025. Whilst there’s been some appealing moves in the market so far, there’s still plenty of room for trend changes and unexpected volatility. The key going forward is to stick to your trading plan, but expect the unexpected – especially as we begin to see the economic effects of Trumps’ executive orders. 


If you haven’t done so already, check out our post on Economic Indicators here. 


20/02/2025
Social
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Our New Refer a Friend Program

Read Time: 5 Minutes

We are always listening to our community and striving to improve our trading experience. Today, we’re excited to announce the launch of our newly revamped ‘Refer a Friend’ program, offering greater rewards and flexibility for sharing Fusion Markets with your Friends. Terms and Conditions apply. 


Key Points 

  • The new referral program offers up to USD 500 per referral, split between yourself & your friend. 

  • Choose between a once off payment or reduced commission rates 

  • Simple process: Get link, share, earn rewards 

  • Instant reward processing 



What’s new? 


We've re-engineered our referral program to bring you more variety and choice. Here is what you can look forward to: 

  • Bigger Rewards: Earn up to 500 USD per referral, split between yourself & your friend 

  • Flexible Payouts: Choose between a one-off payment or reduced trading commissions. 

  • Easy to Use Process: No complicated steps – just grab your link from the hub and start sharing with your friends. 



Your Reward Options 

Option 1: Earn a once off Payment 



  


Receive a one-time payment of up to $500 USD, split between you and your friend. The reward amount is based on your friend's initial deposit. See the detailed rewards table below for more specifics. 

 


Option 2: Reduce Commissions 


 


Reduce your commission by up to 15% per lot. 

 


How it works? 


 


Step 1: Get Your Link 

Log into the Fusion Markets Hub and obtain your unique referral code under the ‘Refer a Friend’ tab. 

Step 2: Share Your Link 

Send your unique link to your Friends interested in trading with Fuson Markets 

Step 3: Earn Rewards 

Once your friend signs up and makes a deposit, you’ll receive your reward depending on which option you choose. 

 

For New Clients 

Been referred? Use your friend’s link when signing up, and you’ll receive your reward based on your initial deposit amount after verification. 

 


Why We Upgraded the Program 

 

We value our community and your feedback. This upgrade is our way of saying thank you for being part of Fusion Markets and sharing your experience with others. 

 

FAQ’s  

  • Is there a limit to how many people I can refer to? No, there’s no limit! You can refer as many friends as you like, provided they meet the trading requirements. 

  • When will I receive my reward? After hitting the trade requirement, your reward will be processed within 24 hours.   

  • How do I access my reward? You can manage your rewards through the 'Refer a Friend' tab in your Fusion Hub. 


For more details, visit the ‘Refer a Friend’ page. 

 

Ready to start referring? 


Log into your Fusion Markets account to get your referral link and start sharing.

Whether you go for the once off payment or reduced commissions, our improved program is designed to help you benefit the most. 



06/02/2025
Market Analysis
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Trump’s Return: What Forex Traders Need to Know About the New Administration


Read Time: 6 minutes


Donald Trump’s return to Office as the 47th President of the United States marks a significant political and economic shift, creating both opportunities and challenges in the forex market. 


Trumps second-term agenda, marked by aggressive trade policies, tax reforms, and deregulation, has the potential to impact global markets in complex ways, especially the foreign exchange market. Fear not; there will be plenty of opportunities to accompany any disruptions that the Trump Administration will bring.

One of Trump’s most critical economic agenda’s is his renewed focus on tariffs. As during his first term, Trump has emphasised targeting China, with plans to raise tariffs on Chinese imports by 10–15%, ultimately increasing tensions between the two nations.


Why does this matter?


China’s economy has direct and indirect influences on markets, primarily through global trade. In 2024, China's foreign trade reached new heights, with total goods imports and exports amounting to 43.85 trillion yuan (approximately USD $6.1 trillion), marking a 5% increase from the previous year. Exports grew by 7.1% to 25.45 trillion yuan, while imports saw a 2.3% rise to 18.39 trillion yuan.

The trade surplus expanded significantly, reaching a record $992 billion, driven by a surge in exports, particularly to the U.S. So, you can imagine how Trump’s focus on tariffs could affect this.

Other proposals include broad tariff hikes, with some extreme scenarios suggesting across-the-board levies of up to 10% or a staggering 60% on Chinese goods. Such moves, while aimed at protecting American industries, carry substantial implications for global trade flows – which will of course affect currency rates.

The U.S. dollar, often a safe-haven currency as we know it, has provided an impressive bull-run recently;

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Figure 1-DXY (US Dollar Index) Daily Chart



There are essentially two scenarios:

  1. A weaker USD

    In his first term as US President, Trump openly said the dollar (USD) was too high. And now, in his second term, he’s singing the same tune. This could provide some fantastic opportunities for us forex traders – especially when currencies such as the AUD and NZD are severely undervalued.

  2. Continued dollar strength

    We could see further strength if global investors react to heightened uncertainty and anticipated inflationary pressures.

Overall, it’s likely that continued tariff increases will disrupt supply chains and weigh on U.S. economic growth, potentially weakening the dollar in the long term.

In addition to trade, Trump’s fiscal policies have the potential to impact currency prices. The extension of the 2017 tax cuts, along with potential new tax breaks, is expected to stimulate economic growth in the short term but could also widen fiscal deficits, already exceeding 7.5% of GDP. Higher government borrowing to finance these deficits may push up U.S. Treasury yields, attracting foreign capital and boosting the dollar. Yet, sustained fiscal imbalances could lead to long-term concerns over debt sustainability, ultimately eroding confidence in the greenback.

The Trump Administration’s approach to deregulation is yet another factor likely to influence forex prices. Trump’s plan to roll back Biden-era regulations across sectors such as energy, finance, and manufacturing aims to reduce costs for businesses and encourage investment. This deregulation, in addition to tax cuts, could lift business confidence and support equity markets, creating a risk-on environment. In such scenarios, higher-yielding currencies such as our Australian dollar and the Canadian dollar could potentially benefit from improved sentiment and rising commodity prices.


How to Trade Trump 2.0


Monetary and Fiscal Policy Signals


So far, Trump has been on a war path signing off executive orders and pushing to make change. Given that currency markets are influenced by macroeconomic and geopolitical events, it’s imperative to keep an eye on the headlines for potential shifts in monetary and fiscal policies. In doing this, we can stay one step ahead.


Look for Hedging Opportunities


Trump’s presidency previously brought unexpected shifts in international relations, creating geopolitical uncertainty that could impact the forex market; during such times, safe-haven currencies such as the CHF or JPY are typically reliable options. Additionally, if Trump reinstates policies that favour U.S. energy independence, oil-exporting nations such as Canada (CAD) or Russia (RUB) may see increased currency volatility tied to changes in commodity markets.


Be Prepared and Adapt


Trump’s criticism of the Federal Reserve for maintaining high interest rates during his first term suggests potential attempts to influence monetary policy, making the Fed’s reactions critical for USD movements. Policies promoting growth or supply-side inflation could drive rate adjustments, adding to forex market volatility. As traders, we need to be prepared – we know Trump is a bit of a loose cannon, but we also need to adapt to changes in market structure and macroeconomics.


News and Risk Management


Taking all of this into account, we traders need to keep one eye on the news headlines, and one eye on the markets. Stay up-to-date with major news events and avoid trading within close proximity of them, reducing exposure on any open trades.

In the months ahead, expect volatility and surprises. Trump has never been more motivated in improving things for the United States. Given that the greenback is the most important currency to watch, we traders need to be prepared for anything that he throws at us. Traders need to embrace the volatility, identify trends, and keep an eye on the macro-economic influencers that ultimately drive the pricing of currencies.

We provide our clients with an economic calendar and other tools to succeed in the markets – find out more by clicking here.
04/02/2025
Newsletter
Top Articles
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cTrader vs. MetaTrader
Trading and Brokerage
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Upcoming Holidays in March 2025
Market Hours
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TradingView vs. MetaTrader
Beginners
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Top Indicators for Forex Trading and How to Use Them
Beginners
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The Psychology Behind Forex Success
Beginners
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Our New Refer a Friend Program
Social
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Index CFD Dividends | Week 10/03/25
Trading and Brokerage
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How to Use Pine Script for Trading on TradingView
Beginners
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How to Trade on TradingView
Trading and Brokerage
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Getting Started with Your Free TradingView Subscription
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