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Introducing Six New Base Currencies for Forex Traders

Estimated Read Time: 15 minutes 

In an era where global markets are constantly evolving, adaptability and innovation have become the cornerstones of success. With this ethos in mind, we are pleased to announce the introduction of six new base currencies by Fusion Markets. Embracing the diversity of international finance, we are now offering traders the opportunity to engage with the Norwegian Krone (NOK), Swedish krona (SEK), Czech koruna (CZK), Hungarian forint (HUF), Swiss franc (CHF), and Danish Krone (DKK) as base currencies. 


Key Points:  

  • Fusion Markets has added six new base currencies: Norwegian Krone (NOK), Swedish Krona (SEK), Czech Koruna (CZK), Hungarian Forint (HUF), Swiss Franc (CHF), and Danish Krone (DKK). 

  • These additions aim to provide traders with more flexibility and access to a broader range of currency pairs. 

  • Each currency has a unique history and plays a significant role in its respective country's economy. 

  • The new base currencies offer opportunities for portfolio diversification and exposure to different economic regions. 

  • Traders can benefit from Fusion Markets' low commissions, zero minimum deposit, and access to multiple trading platforms. 

  • Understanding the correlations between these currencies and major global currencies is crucial for effective trading strategies. 

  • The introduction of these base currencies reflects the evolving nature of the global forex market and the importance of adapting to new opportunities.



Table of Contents

This expansion marks a significant milestone in our commitment to empowering traders with enhanced flexibility and access to a broader range of currency pairs. As the forex landscape continues to evolve, it is essential for traders to have access to a comprehensive selection of base currencies to navigate the ever-changing trends of the global economy. Let's explore their history, unique characteristics, roles, and correlations within the global financial ecosystem.

By registering with Fusion Markets, you will get access to: 

  • $0 minimum deposit 

  • No minimum account size 

  • White glove customer support 

  • Range of markets (including Forex and our new base currencies) 

  • TradingView, MetaTrader 4, MetaTrader 5, cTrader 

 

Norwegian Krone (NOK)


The Norwegian Krone, denoted by the symbol "kr" and the currency code NOK, has been in circulation since 1875 when Norway joined the Scandinavian Monetary Union. Like many currencies, the Krone is subdivided into smaller units, known as øre, with 100 øre equaling 1 Krone. While Norway initially pegged its currency to gold, it later adopted a floating exchange rate regime, allowing market forces to determine its value. 

 

Historical Background of the Norwegian Krone 


The initial introduction of the krone occurred in 1875 as it replaced the speciedaler. At that time, the exchange rate was set at four kroner for one speciedaler. Subsequently, Norway became a part of the Scandinavian Monetary Union, a coalition that remained in existence until the outbreak of World War I. Throughout the Union's existence, the Norwegian krone adhered to the gold standard until 1931 when it was pegged to the British pound. 


In 1939, Norway's currency was linked to the U.S. dollar (USD). However, during the German occupation of Norway in World War II, it was tied to the Reichsmark. Following the war's conclusion, the currency was once again pegged, this time to the British pound (GBP). Shortly afterward, the krone's peg shifted to the US dollar until 1971 when it was allowed to float freely in the market for seven years before being linked to a basket of currencies. Then, in 1992, the central bank opted to move away from a fixed exchange rate system, enabling the currency to float based on foreign exchange rates. 

 

Correlations of the NOK 


The Norwegian krone ranks as the 14th most traded currency globally by value and exhibits a strong correlation with other currencies. Its value against major counterparts such as the US dollar and euro experiences significant fluctuations from year to year, primarily influenced by shifts in interest rates and global oil prices. 


Even long after the dissolution of the Scandinavian Monetary Union, the Krone maintains a notable correlation with the Danish krone and the Swedish krona. Conversely, its correlation with currencies like the British pound, euro, Canadian dollar, and others tied to oil prices remains comparatively low. Notably, some establishments in Oslo, Norway’s capital city, accept payments in US dollars or euros for goods and services. 


As a prominent oil exporter in Western Europe, Norway derives a substantial portion of its budget from oil revenues. Consequently, the value of the krone is closely intertwined with fluctuations in crude oil prices, reflecting trends in the global oil market. 


For instance, during the oil crisis of 2015, the krone depreciated by 20% against the dollar, marking its lowest level in a five-month period from October 2014 to February 2015. To learn more about other top Forex events in the new millennium, visit our blog. 



Swedish Krona (SEK)


The Swedish krona, symbolised as "kr" or "SEK," serves as the national currency of Sweden. With a rich history established in 1873, replacing the Swedish riksdaler as Sweden joined the Scandinavian Monetary Union, the SEK is renowned for its resilience and stability. 


Sweden's export-oriented economy, characterised by industries such as automotive, engineering, and telecommunications, heavily influences the SEK's performance. Furthermore, the SEK's correlation with global economic trends and monetary policies makes it an attractive option for traders seeking exposure to the broader European market. 

 

Historical Background of the Swedish krona 

The origins of the Swedish krona can be traced back to the 17th century when Sweden transitioned from the silver standard to a bimetallic monetary system. Over the centuries, the krona evolved, experiencing fluctuations in value, and undergoing reforms to adapt to changing economic conditions. 


In 1873, Sweden joined the gold-standard-based Scandinavian Monetary Union, pegging the krona to gold. Subsequently, Sweden embraced a floating exchange rate regime, allowing the krona's value to be determined by market forces. 

 

Correlations of the SEK 


The Swedish krona (SEK) exhibits correlations with various currencies, with some of the notable ones including: 


  • Euro (EUR): Given the proximity and extensive trade relations between Sweden and the Eurozone countries, particularly Germany, the Swedish krona often shows a significant correlation with the euro. 

  • Norwegian krone (NOK): As neighbouring countries with intertwined economies, Sweden and Norway often experience correlated movements in their respective currencies, the Swedish krona, and the Norwegian krone. 

  • Danish krone (DKK): Similarly, Sweden's proximity to Denmark and their shared economic ties can result in correlations between the Swedish krona and the Danish krone. 

  • US Dollar (USD): The US dollar is a major global reserve currency and a key player in international financial markets, so movements in the USD can influence the Swedish krona's exchange rate. 

  • British Pound (GBP): While not as strong as some of the other correlations mentioned, the Swedish krona may also exhibit some level of correlation with the British pound, particularly due to trade relations and economic ties between Sweden and the United Kingdom. 

 



Czech Koruna (CZK)


The Czech koruna, represented by the symbol "" or "CZK," is the official currency of the Czech Republic. Emerging as a key player in Central Europe's economic landscape, the CZK embodies the region's transition towards a dynamic market economy. 


With a focus on manufacturing, automotive, and technology sectors, the Czech Republic's export-driven economy shapes the CZK's performance. Traders eyeing opportunities in Eastern Europe will find the CZK a compelling addition to their forex portfolios. 

 

Historical Background of the Czech Koruna 


Since February 8, 1993, the Czech koruna has served as the official currency of the Czech Republic, replacing the Czechoslovak koruna following the dissolution of Soviet Czechoslovakia into independent Czech and Slovak republics. Both the Czech koruna and the Slovak koruna (SKK) were introduced at par value in lieu of the Czechoslovak koruna. 


Despite joining the EU in 2004, the Czech Republic has not yet adopted the euro (EUR) as its official currency. Nevertheless, the nation remains in preparations to transition to the common currency, albeit without an official target date for implementation. Originally, the Czech Republic aimed to adopt the euro in 2012, but opposition led to the postponement of this move following a 2007 vote. 

 

Correlations of the CZK

 

The Czech koruna (CZK) exhibits correlations with various currencies, with some of the notable ones including: 

 

  • Euro (EUR): Given the geographical proximity and economic ties between the Czech Republic and the Eurozone countries, particularly Germany, the Czech koruna often shows a significant correlation with the euro. 

  • US Dollar (USD): As one of the world's primary reserve currencies and a key player in global financial markets, movements in the US dollar often influence the Czech koruna's exchange rate. 

  • Polish złoty (PLN): Due to Poland's proximity to the Czech Republic and the significant trade relations between the two countries, there tends to be a correlation between the Czech koruna and the Polish złoty. 


Hungarian Forint (HUF)
  • The Hungarian forint, being another currency from a neighbouring country in Central Europe, may also exhibit correlation with the Czech koruna due to shared economic factors and trade relations. 

  • Slovak koruna (SKK): Historically, before Slovakia adopted the euro, the Slovak koruna maintained a correlation with the Czech koruna due to their shared history and close economic ties as part of the former Czechoslovakia. 

 

These correlations may vary over time and can be influenced by factors such as economic conditions, trade relations, geopolitical events, and monetary policies of respective countries. Traders and analysts often monitor these correlations to gain insights into potential trends and movements in the Czech koruna's exchange rate. 

 

The Czech Republic's Approach to the Euro 


Concerns stemming from the European debt crisis stand as a primary factor driving resistance to the Czech Republic's full integration into the Eurozone and the adoption of the euro as its official currency. While eventual euro adoption is anticipated for the Czech Republic, recent discourse has also entertained the notion of the nation's potential departure from the European Union altogether. 


Termed 'Czech-Out' or 'Czexit' by the media and some political analysts, this concept parallels Brexit, depicting a scenario where the Czech Republic exits the European Union entirely. Although Czech President Miloš Zeman does not endorse the idea of EU departure, he has expressed openness to holding a referendum, allowing citizens to vote on the matter, similar to the process undertaken by the U.K. in June 2016. 


Despite these discussions, the Czech Republic boasts a relatively robust economy within the EU. It exhibits one of the highest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates and among the lowest unemployment rates, standing at approximately 2.9% in 2019, with inflation hovering around 2.8%. While unemployment experienced a modest increase in 2020, it settled at 3.8% as of November 2020. 

 

Hungarian Forint (HUF):

 


The Hungarian forint, denoted by the symbol "Ft" or "HUF," stands as the official currency of Hungary. Rooted in a rich tapestry of history and culture, the HUF reflects Hungary's economic resilience and dynamism. As a prominent player in Central and Eastern Europe, Hungary's diverse economy encompasses industries such as automotive, manufacturing, and agriculture. The HUF's correlation with regional economic developments and monetary policies offers traders a gateway to the vibrant markets of Eastern Europe. 

 

Historical Background of the Hungarian Forint  

The Hungarian forint saw its initial usage between 1868 and 1892, but it wasn't until 1946 that the modern forint was officially introduced, with the aim of stabilising the national economy in the aftermath of World War II. The currency derives its name from the gold coins of Florence known as fiorino d'oro, minted from 1252 onwards and widely circulated throughout the Austro-Hungarian Empire. 

 

While the forint's exchange rate has displayed some level of stability, uncertainties within the nation's economy have adversely impacted its value in the foreign exchange market. For instance: 

 

  • The acceptance of the Treaty of Trianon in 1920 following World War I had profound repercussions on the Hungarian economy, marked by the loss of over 70% of its pre-war territory and more than 60% of its pre-war population. Five of Hungary's ten largest cities prior to World War I were absorbed by neighbouring countries. This, coupled with war reparations and the erosion of its tax base, led to a significant devaluation of the HUF, with annualised inflation peaking at nearly 1,200% in 1923. 

  • In the late 1980s and early 1990s, Hungary, along with several other central and Eastern European nations, transitioned away from communist rule, prompted by economic stagnation and inflation. The transition, though challenging, was peaceful. Hyperinflation soared to 35% during the 1990s as Hungary embraced a market economy. Although the economy showed signs of improvement in the 2000s, rampant inflation undermined the currency's convertibility. 

  • Hungary's export-oriented economy heavily relies on a skilled labour force. Key trading partners include Germany, Slovakia, Italy, Romania, and Austria. Notable industries encompass car manufacturing, production of car parts, and manufacturing components for radios and televisions. 

 

According to World Bank data, Hungary reported a -4.7% contraction in gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020 and a 5.1% inflation rate in 2021. This downturn primarily stemmed from the economic repercussions of the global COVID-19 pandemic. 

 

Correlations of the HUF 


The Hungarian forint (HUF) exhibits correlations with various currencies, including: 

 

  • Euro (EUR): Given Hungary's geographical proximity to the Eurozone and its extensive trade relations with Eurozone countries, particularly Germany, the Hungarian forint often shows a significant correlation with the euro. 

  • Polish złoty (PLN): Poland and Hungary have significant trade relations, but Poland does not share a direct border with Hungary. Therefore, the Hungarian forint may exhibit correlation with the Polish złoty. 

  • Czech koruna (CZK): Similar to Poland, the Czech Republic shares a border with Hungary, and there are considerable trade ties between the two countries, potentially leading to correlations between the Hungarian forint and the Czech koruna. 

  • Romanian leu (RON): Romania is another neighbouring country to Hungary, and while the economic ties may not be as extensive as with Poland or the Czech Republic, there can still be correlations between the Hungarian forint and the Romanian leu. 

  • US Dollar (USD): The US dollar is a major global reserve currency, and movements in the USD can influence the Hungarian forint's exchange rate, especially during times of global economic uncertainty. 

 



Swiss Franc (CHF)


The Swiss franc, symbolised as "CHF," holds a revered status as a safe-haven currency and a bastion of stability in the global financial landscape. Renowned for Switzerland's tradition of neutrality, fiscal prudence, and financial sophistication, the CHF embodies the quintessential attributes of a haven asset. Switzerland's thriving banking sector, precision engineering, and pharmaceutical industries underpin the CHF's allure as a currency of choice for investors seeking refuge during times of uncertainty. 

 

Historical background of the Swiss franc 


Until 1798, approximately 75 entities within Switzerland were engaged in coin minting activities, resulting in the circulation of 860 distinct types of currency featuring varying denominations, weights, and monetary systems. Among these currencies were thalers originating from cities such as Bern, Basel, Zurich, and Geneva. 


In 1798, the Helvetic Republic introduced a new monetary framework, anchored by the Berne thaler, equivalent to six grams and three-quarters of pure silver. This currency, known as the franc, remained in circulation until the dissolution of the Helvetic Republic in 1803 but continued to serve as the basis for currencies utilised by several member states of the Reformed Swiss Confederation. 


In 1848, with the adoption of the new Swiss Federal Constitution, the exclusive authority to issue currency within the country was granted to the federal government. The initial federal monetary legislation, enacted on May 7, 1850, by the Federal Assembly, established the franc as the official monetary unit of Switzerland. Concurrently, both the Swiss franc and the French franc were introduced into circulation. 


The establishment of the Latin Monetary Union between 1865 and the 1920s, comprising Switzerland, France, Belgium, and Italy, further intertwined the Swiss franc's value with those of its counterparts. Under this union, the currencies of all four nations were pegged to the value of silver. Additionally, the Swiss franc was incorporated into the Bretton Woods exchange rate system following World War II, a framework that persisted until the early 1970s. Notably, until 1999, the exchange rate of the Swiss franc was tied to the price of gold. 

 

Factors Influencing the Swiss Franc (CHF) 


  • Swiss National Bank and Monetary Policy 


The Swiss National Bank (SNB) serves as Switzerland's central bank, entrusted with the responsibility of formulating monetary policy and managing exchange rates. Unlike some central banks, the Swiss National Bank does rely on a specific policy rate, previously the Libor target range, to regulate monetary conditions. Previously, it utilised FX swaps and repurchase agreements to influence both the money supply and interest rates. To bolster liquidity, the Bank engages in purchasing US dollars (or other foreign currencies) against Swiss francs. SNB officials wield the ability to impact the Swiss franc through their statements and commentary concerning the currency, liquidity, and monetary matters. Any alterations in monetary policy have consequential effects on the currency. 


  • Macroeconomic Indicators 

A plethora of economic indicators relating to Switzerland's economy and market, including inflation, employment data, GDP rates, and industrial production, exert influence on the Swiss franc. 


  • Cross-Exchange Rates 

Fluctuations in non-dollar exchange rates or cross-exchange rates can influence the USD/CHF pairing. Fluctuations in non-dollar exchange rates or cross-exchange rates such as GBP/CHF may not have a significant or predictable impact on USD/CHF, due to the weaker correlation between the British pound and the Swiss franc. 


  • Positive Correlation with the Euro 

The Swiss franc exhibits a positive correlation with the euro, owing to the close economic ties between Switzerland and the Eurozone, particularly Germany. This correlation is notably apparent in the inverse relationship between the USD/CHF and EUR/USD pairs. When the EUR/USD experiences sharp movements upwards or downwards, the USD/CHF reacts correspondingly but inversely, consistently moving in the opposite direction. 

 


Danish Krone (DKK)


Danish Krone, represented by the symbol "kr" or "DKK," serves as the official currency of Denmark, Greenland, and the Faroe Islands. As a stalwart of Scandinavian prosperity and innovation, the DKK reflects Denmark's enviable track record of economic stability and social welfare. Denmark's diversified economy, encompassing industries such as renewable energy, shipping, and agriculture, shapes the DKK's performance. Moreover, Denmark's commitment to prudent fiscal policies and sound governance enhances the DKK's appeal as a reliable currency for international traders. 

 

Historical Background of the Danish Krone 

 

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The history of coin production and usage in Denmark spans numerous centuries, with organised minting activities dating back to as early as the 10th century. The earliest official Danish coins were established on the Carolingian silver standard, a system of silver currency introduced in France during the era of Charlemagne, aiming to replace the gold coinage of the Roman Empire. This silver-based monetary system, consisting of pennies, shillings, and pounds, eventually became the foundation for the British pound sterling in Great Britain. 


Regrettably, Danish monarchs, like many rulers of their time, pursued practices of periodically debasing their currency by reducing the actual silver content in minted coins, leading to multiple remonetisations in attempts to restore public trust in the nation's monetary system. One significant event in this regard was the inception of the current Danish krone in 1875. 


The introduction of the krone coincided with a period when transactions involving coins were becoming increasingly cumbersome, prompting a transition towards greater reliance on printed banknotes alongside the implementation of the new currency. 


Denmark made several endeavours to fix its currency to the gold standard, but ultimately abandoned this endeavour in 1931, coinciding with Great Britain's decision to depart from the gold standard in the same year. During Denmark's occupation by Germany in World War II, the Danish krone was temporarily linked to the German Reichsmark, followed by a peg to the British pound in the immediate postwar era. 


Presently, the krone is pegged to the euro under the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) II, a mechanism aimed at curbing excessive volatility in the euro's exchange rate with European trading partners. Over recent decades, Denmark has contemplated joining the eurozone and adopting the euro as its official currency. However, the most recent public referendum in 2000 narrowly rejected this proposition by a margin of 53% to 47%. 


 

The Danish Krone in Forex Trading 


The Danish Kroner (DKK) holds a distinctive position within the realm of Forex trading, presenting opportunities and perspectives that are indispensable for traders seeking success in navigating the global currency market. Serving as the official currency of a nation renowned for its stable economy, high living standards, and robust financial systems, the DKK serves as a conduit for comprehending the Scandinavian financial landscape. 


  • Stability and Security: 

Denmark's economic stability finds manifestation in its currency, rendering the DKK a preferred asset for traders seeking safe-haven investments amid periods of global economic uncertainty. The nation's strong fiscal policies, minimal inflation rate, and transparent governance contribute to the stability of the Kroner, instilling a sense of confidence in Forex traders. 


  • Diversification: 

Engaging in DKK trading enables investors to diversify their currency portfolios, spreading risk and accessing markets characterised by lower volatility. The DKK's correlation with major currencies like the Euro and the US Dollar equips traders with strategic alternatives, empowering them to make informed decisions aligned with global economic trends. 


  • Insight into the Scandinavian Market: 

Understanding the DKK is essential for traders interested in the Scandinavian region, as the currency serves as a bellwether for the area's economic well-being. It furnishes valuable insights into market dynamics, investment prospects, and potential risks prevalent in the region. 


  • Trading Strategies: 

Forex traders can leverage the stability and regional significance of the DKK to formulate tailored trading strategies. Whether engaging in carry trades, utilising the currency for hedging purposes, or capitalising on its low volatility for short-term gains, the DKK offers a spectrum of opportunities suitable for both novice and seasoned traders. 


 

Correlations of the DKK 


The Danish krone (DKK) exhibits correlations with various currencies, including: 

 

  • Euro (EUR): Given Denmark's proximity to the Eurozone and its extensive trade relations with Eurozone countries, particularly Germany, the Danish krone often shows a significant correlation with the euro. 

  • Swedish krona (SEK): Denmark shares a border with Sweden, and both countries have significant trade relations. Therefore, the Danish krone may exhibit correlation with the Swedish krona. 

  • Norwegian krone (NOK): Norway is another neighbouring country to Denmark, and while the economic ties may not be as extensive as with Sweden, there can still be correlations between the Danish krone and the Norwegian krone. 

  • British Pound (GBP): While there may be some level of correlation between the Danish krone and the British pound, the correlation is generally weak. The Danish krone is more heavily influenced by the Euro due to Denmark's ERM II peg. 

  • US Dollar (USD): The US dollar is a major global reserve currency, and movements in the USD can influence the Danish krone's exchange rate, especially during times of global economic uncertainty. 

 

Conclusion



In conclusion, the introduction of these six new base currencies underscores our dedication to providing traders with unparalleled opportunities to diversify their portfolios and capitalise on emerging market trends. Whether it's harnessing the resilience of the Norwegian Krone, navigating the intricacies of the Swiss franc's safe-haven status, or tapping into the dynamic economies of Central and Eastern Europe, our expanded offering opens doors to a world of possibilities in forex trading.  


For further insights into currency pairs and the foreign exchange market, register with Fusion Markets to stay updated on all the latest macroeconomic developments. 

 

 

 


11/11/2024
Trading and Brokerage
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Index CFD Dividends | Week 11/11/24

Read time: 3 minutes.


Please see the table below for any upcoming dividend adjustments on indices for the week starting November 11th, 2024.


FM Dividends 11/11/24

* Please note these figures are quoted in the index point amount

 

What is a dividend?


Dividends are a portion of company earnings given to shareholders. As indices are often composed of individual shares, an index dividend pays out based on individual shares proportional to the index’s weighting.


Trading on a CFD Index does not create any ownership of the underlying stocks, or an entitlement to receive the actual dividends from these companies.

 

What is an ex-dividend date?


An ex-dividend date is the cut-off date a share must be owned in order to receive a dividend. If an investor buys a share after the ex-dividend date, then they will not be entitled to earn or pay the next round of dividends. This is usually one business day before the dividend.

 

Do dividends affect my position?


Share prices should theoretically fall by the amount of the dividend. If the company has paid the dividend with cash, then there is less cash on the balance sheet, so in theory, the company should be valued lower (by the amount of the dividend).


Due to the corresponding price movement of the stock index when the ex-dividend date is reached, Fusion must provide a 'dividend' adjustment to ensure that no trader is positively or negatively impacted by the ex-dividend event.

 

How will the dividend appear on my account?


The dividend will appear as a cash adjustment on your account. If your base currency is different from the currency the dividend is paid out in, then it will be converted at the live FX rate to your base currency.

 

Why was I charged a dividend?


Depending on your position, given you are holding your position before the ex-dividend date, you will either be paid or charged the amount based on the dividend. Traders shorting an index will pay the dividend, whereas traders who are long the index will be paid the dividend.

 

Why didn’t I receive my dividend?


You may not have received a dividend for a number of reasons:


- You entered your position after the ex-dividend date

- You are trading an index without dividend payments

- You are short an index


If you believe the reasons above do not apply to your position, please reach out to our support team at [email protected] and we’ll investigate further for you.




01/11/2024
Trading and Brokerage
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Exploring Different Trading Instruments

Read time: 12 minutes.


A diverse range of trading instruments is available in the financial markets, each presenting its own set of opportunities and challenges for investors.




Introduction


Forex stands out as the largest and most liquid market globally, facilitating currency exchange 24/5 across major financial centres worldwide. Meanwhile, precious metals like gold, silver, and platinum hold enduring appeal as timeless assets valued for their intrinsic worth and utility across various industries.  


  • Indices, such as the S&P 500, offer snapshots of broader market performance, guiding investors in tracking trends and making informed decisions about resource allocation.  

  • Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, have disrupted traditional finance with their decentralised and highly volatile nature, reshaping the financial landscape.  

  • US share CFDs provide traders with leveraged exposure to American equities without owning the underlying assets, opening up avenues for speculation and hedging within the dynamic US stock market. 


Understanding the distinct characteristics and dynamics of each trading instrument is crucial for navigating the financial markets effectively. Each instrument has its own unique features, including liquidity, volatility, and correlations with other assets, which significantly impact trading strategies and risk management approaches.  


For example, forex trading thrives on its liquidity and accessibility but is also prone to significant volatility and sensitivity to economic indicators. On the other hand, precious metals often serve as safe-haven assets during times of economic uncertainty but are subject to supply and demand dynamics and geopolitical tensions.  


By understanding each asset's characteristics, traders can tailor their strategies to suit specific instruments, maximising opportunities and mitigating risks for consistent and profitable trading outcomes. 

Forex Icon

Forex Trading


The foreign exchange market is a global decentralised marketplace where currencies are traded. Participants include banks, financial institutions, corporations, governments, and individual traders.  


Currency pairs represent the exchange rate between two currencies. The most commonly traded pairs include EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar), GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar), and USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen). Each pair consists of a base currency and a quote currency, with the exchange rate indicating how much of the quote currency is needed to purchase one unit of the base currency.  


Forex trading operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, across major financial centres worldwide, including London, New York, Tokyo, and Sydney. This continuous trading cycle allows for around-the-clock trading, providing ample opportunities for market participants to engage in buying and selling currencies. 


What moves prices


There are many factors that contribute to the volatile price movements. Economic indicators play a significant role, including interest rates, inflation rates, gross domestic product (GDP) growth, employment figures, and trade balances. Central bank policies, such as monetary policy decisions and interventions in currency markets, can also impact currency valuations.  


Geopolitical events and developments, such as political instability, trade tensions, and conflicts, can cause sudden shifts in investor sentiment and currency flows. For example, the current conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza.  


Market sentiment, driven by speculation, fear, and greed, can lead to short-term fluctuations in currency prices. Traders often employ a combination of fundamental and technical analysis to anticipate market movements and make informed trading decisions in the dynamic forex market environment. 

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Precious Metals Trading


Precious metals, including gold, silver, and platinum, have captivated humanity for centuries due to their inherent beauty, scarcity, and utility.  


Gold, often referred to as the "king of metals," holds a special place in history as a symbol of wealth, luxury, and stability. Its lustrous appearance and resistance to corrosion make it ideal for jewellery and ornamental purposes.  


Silver, known for its affordability and versatility, boasts a wide range of industrial applications, from electronics to medicine.  


Platinum, rarer and more precious than gold, is coveted for its durability and resistance to tarnishing, primarily used in catalytic converters, jewellery, and laboratory equipment. Together, these precious metals form the cornerstone of investment portfolios, serving as safe-haven assets and hedges against inflation and economic uncertainty. 


What moves prices


The prices of precious metals are influenced by a complex interplay of supply and demand dynamics, along with various economic factors.  


On the supply side, mining production, exploration efforts, and recycling rates impact the availability of precious metals in the market. Geopolitical factors, including mining regulations, labour strikes, and geopolitical tensions, can disrupt supply chains and affect production levels.  


Demand for precious metals stems from diverse sources, including jewellery fabrication, industrial manufacturing, investment demand, and central bank reserves.  


Economic indicators, such as interest rates, inflation expectations, and currency valuations, also exert significant influence on precious metals prices. For instance, during times of economic uncertainty or inflationary pressures, investors flock to precious metals as store-of-value assets, driving prices higher. On the contrary, a strengthening economy or rising interest rates may dampen demand for precious metals, leading to price declines.  


Understanding these supply and demand dynamics, coupled with macroeconomic trends, is essential for investors and traders seeking to navigate the intricacies of the precious metals market. 

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Indices Trading


Stock market indices, such as the S&P 500, play a pivotal role in providing investors with insights into the performance of specific segments of the financial markets. The S&P 500, for example, represents a diverse basket of 500 large-cap US companies, spanning various industries and sectors. These indices serve as benchmarks, allowing investors to gauge the overall health and direction of the stock market. Additionally, they facilitate portfolio diversification and asset allocation strategies by providing a broad overview of market trends and movements. 


Stock market indices are calculated using weighted averages of constituent stocks' prices or market capitalisations. The weighting methodology varies depending on the index, with some indices employing market-cap weighting, where larger companies exert a greater influence on the index's performance, while others utilise price weighting or equal weighting.  


What moves prices


Changes in the prices of constituent stocks, driven by factors such as corporate earnings, macroeconomic indicators, and investor sentiment, impact the index's value.  


Indices are rebalanced periodically to reflect changes in market dynamics, ensuring their relevance and accuracy in tracking overall market performance. By tracking indices, investors can assess the performance of their portfolios relative to the broader market, identify trends, and make informed investment decisions based on market benchmarks. 

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Cryptocurrency Trading


The cryptocurrency markets exhibit unique features that distinguish them from traditional financial markets, with volatility and decentralisation standing out as prominent characteristics.  


Volatility, fuelled by speculative trading, market sentiment, and regulatory developments, is inherent to cryptocurrency markets, leading to rapid price fluctuations and heightened risk.  


Additionally, cryptocurrencies operate on decentralised blockchain networks, bypassing traditional financial intermediaries like banks and enabling peer-to-peer transactions. This decentralisation fosters transparency, security, and censorship resistance, empowering individuals to control their assets and participate in a borderless financial ecosystem.  


Despite the challenges posed by volatility and regulatory uncertainty, the decentralisation of cryptocurrencies continues to disrupt traditional financial systems, offering a glimpse into the future of finance. 

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US Share CFDs Trading


US Share CFDs trading offers investors a flexible and leveraged approach to accessing US equity markets without owning the underlying assets.  


Contracts for Difference (CFDs) allow traders to speculate on the price movements of US shares, including popular companies such as Apple, Google, and Amazon, without the need for direct ownership.  


CFDs provide flexibility, enabling traders to take both long and short positions on US shares, thereby capitalising on both rising and falling markets. However, it's essential to acknowledge the risks associated with CFD trading, such as leverage-induced losses, counterparty risk, and overnight financing charges.  


In addition to maintaining strict risk management, traders need to stay informed about market developments, and conduct thorough research, in order to mitigating risk and achieving long-term success in trading US share CFDs. 


Click here for more information on the trading products provided by Fusion Markets.

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Choosing the Right Trading Instruments


Selecting the right trading instruments is a critical decision that hinges on various factors, including individual trading goals, experience level, and risk tolerance.  


Novice traders may opt for instruments like forex or precious metals, known for their liquidity and relatively lower entry barriers.  


Experienced traders, on the other hand, might explore more complex instruments such as cryptocurrencies or US share CFDs, leveraging their market knowledge and risk management skills.  


It's essential to align chosen instruments with specific trading objectives, whether it be short-term speculation or long-term investment. Additionally, understanding one's risk tolerance is essential, as certain instruments, like cryptocurrencies, are inherently more volatile than others and may not suit everyone's risk appetite. 


Diversification and portfolio management also play a crucial role in mitigating risk and optimising returns when trading multiple instruments. Diversifying across different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies, helps spread risk and minimise exposure to any single market or sector.  


Additionally, within each asset class, diversification can be achieved by selecting a mix of instruments with varying risk profiles and correlations. Effective portfolio management involves regularly reviewing and rebalancing the portfolio to ensure alignment with changing market conditions and investment objectives. By diversifying and actively managing their portfolios, traders can enhance resilience against market fluctuations and achieve more consistent and stable returns over the long term. 


Conclusion


Navigating the diverse array of trading instruments demands a comprehensive understanding of their respective characteristics and dynamics. From the liquidity of forex markets to the resilience of precious metals, each instrument presents unique opportunities and challenges for traders.  


By embracing sound risk management principles, honing analytical skills, and aligning trading strategies with individual objectives, market participants can prosper in any market environment.  


As you dive deeper into the world of trading, we encourage you to explore our range of products and accounts at Fusion Markets, empowering you to seize opportunities and chart your path to financial success.

25/07/2024
Beginners
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Understanding Different Types of Trading Accounts

Trading accounts serve as the cornerstone of the trading journey, providing individuals access to financial markets where they can buy and sell various assets. These accounts not only facilitate trading activities but also play a crucial role in managing funds, tracking performance, and executing strategies.  


However, with numerous options available, selecting the right trading account can be daunting, especially for novice traders. In this guide, we'll unravel the intricacies of trading accounts, compare demo accounts with live ones (Zero | Classic), explore different types of live trading accounts, and offer guidance on choosing the most suitable account type based on individual needs and goals. 


Contents



Demo vs. Live Accounts


Before diving into the complexities of live trading accounts, it's essential to understand the distinction between demo accounts and live accounts.
 

Demo accounts, also known as paper trading accounts, provide a simulated environment for practice. They allow traders to test trading strategies, familiarise themselves with platform features, and observe market dynamics. These accounts use virtual money, eliminating financial risk. However, they have limitations: trades aren't executed in real markets, potentially causing time and price discrepancies, and large orders can be filled at unrealistic prices due to artificial liquidity.
 

While demo accounts offer a risk-free way to gain trading experience, they lack the emotional involvement and psychological challenges present in live trading. This can often become a problem for new traders as they results they observe on a demo account may not be replicated on a live account. This is because risking your own hard-earned cash introduced a plethora of emotions that get in the way of you thinking clearly and making calculated decisions.


Transitioning from a demo account to a live one is a crucial step for aspiring traders. Live accounts involve real money, introducing emotions such as fear, greed, and anxiety into the trading equation. While demo accounts serve as valuable learning tools, they cannot replicate the psychological impact of trading with real funds. Therefore, transitioning to a live account is essential for traders to develop the discipline, emotional resilience, and decision-making skills necessary for success in the live market environment.

 

Demo v Live Accounts



Types of Live Trading Accounts


When it comes to live trading accounts, Fusion Markets offers a variety of options tailored to meet the diverse needs and preferences of traders. Let's explore the key features, advantages, and potential drawbacks of each type: 


Classic Account


The Classic account option caters to forex traders seeking a straightforward and convenient trading experience. Created with user comfort as a priority, there's no need to fret over commission calculations prior to each trade.  


We streamline the process by factoring in costs through spreads, eliminating the hassle of additional fees or complex computations.  


With the Classic account, what you see is precisely what you receive, delivering simplicity and peace of mind to traders. 

Classic Account

Learn more about our Classic account 


Zero Account


With a commission of $2.25 per side and spreads at 0.0, our Zero Account allows clients to engage in trading with raw spreads, offering a seamless and cost-effective trading experience. This account option appeals particularly to traders accustomed to managing their own commission calculations.


Ideal for active traders and scalpers seeking tight spreads and low trading costs.

Zero Account

Learn more about our Zero account. 


Swap-Free Account


Tailored for traders adhering to religious beliefs prohibiting the receipt or payment of overnight swaps, our Swap-Free Accounts offer a no-interest solution.


Enjoy access to over 50 of the world’s leading financial instruments, including Forex Pairs and Indices, at our signature low rates.


Available across all account types, providing flexibility for traders with specific religious or cultural requirements.


Swap Free 

Learn more about our Swap-Free account 




Factors to Consider When Choosing an Account


Selecting the right trading account involves careful consideration of various factors to ensure alignment with individual trading goals and preferences. Here are some essential considerations to keep in mind:


Risk Tolerance


Risk tolerance plays a pivotal role in determining the suitability of a forex account type for each trader. It reflects an individual's comfort level with market volatility, potential losses, and overall risk exposure.


When selecting a forex account type, it's crucial to align the account's features and trading conditions with your risk tolerance. For instance, traders with a low risk tolerance may prefer accounts with lower leverage, higher liquidity, and robust risk management features to minimise potential losses.


On the other hand, traders with a higher risk tolerance may opt for accounts with higher leverage and potentially higher returns, albeit with increased risk.


Trading Experience


Trading experience is a key factor to consider when selecting a forex account type as it directly influences a trader's comfort level, skill set, and familiarity with market dynamics.
 

Novice traders who are new to the forex market may prefer account types that offer simplified trading conditions, educational resources, and demo account options to practice and hone their skills without risking real capital.
 

Experienced traders with a deep understanding of market mechanics and proven trading strategies may seek advanced account types with features such as customisable leverage, access to advanced trading tools, and stop out levels. By aligning the account type with their trading experience, traders can optimise their trading environment to suit their knowledge level, maximise potential profits, and minimise the likelihood of costly mistakes.
 

Consider your level of trading experience and opt for an account that suits your skill level, whether you're a novice or seasoned trader.


Account Size and Leverage


Account size and leverage are critical factors to consider when selecting a forex account type, as they directly impact trading capital and risk exposure.

Traders with smaller account sizes may prefer account types that offer lower minimum deposit requirements and more conservative leverage options to manage risk effectively and preserve capital. Whereas traders with larger account sizes may have more flexibility in choosing account types with higher leverage options, allowing them to maximise potential returns while maintaining prudent risk management practices.

Additionally, traders with varying risk preferences may opt for account types that offer customisable leverage settings to align with their risk tolerance and trading strategies. By carefully evaluating account size and leverage options, traders can tailor their trading environment to suit their individual risk preferences, capital constraints, and long-term financial goals. All Fusion accounts have no minimum account size requirements, providing flexibility for traders of all sizes.


Cost of Trading


Spreads and commissions are crucial considerations when selecting a forex account type, as they directly impact trading costs and profitability.

Traders employing high-frequency trading strategies or frequent position turnover may prioritise account types with low spreads and commission rates to optimise trading performance and efficiency. We understand the importance of tight spreads, and you can review our historical spreads to see our commitment to competitive pricing. All our account types offer the same low costs, ensuring consistency and transparency. Conversely, traders with longer-term investment horizons may be less concerned with spreads and commissions and prioritise other account features, such as access to a diverse range of financial instruments or advanced trading tools.



Guidance on Selecting the Right Account


To choose the right trading account, it's essential to conduct thorough research, compare different options, and consider your individual needs and objectives. Here are some practical steps to guide you through the selection process:


Step One – Research Account Types


Explore the features, benefits, and costs of each account type offered by Fusion Markets, and identify the one that best aligns with your trading style and preferences. 


Step Two – Assess Trading Conditions


Evaluate the trading conditions, including spreads, execution speed, available assets, and platform compatibility, to ensure optimal trading experience.


Step Three– Start Small


Consider starting with a smaller account size and gradually scaling up as you gain experience and confidence in your trading abilities.


Step Four – Review and Adjust


Regularly review your trading performance and account settings, and be prepared to adjust your chosen account type if necessary to adapt to changing market conditions or evolving trading goals.



Conclusion


Understanding the different types of trading accounts is essential for novice traders embarking on their trading journey. By comparing demo accounts with live ones, exploring various live trading account types, and considering key factors when choosing an account, traders can make informed decisions that align with their goals and preferences.


Explore Fusion Markets' range of account options Fusion Markets Trading Accounts to find the perfect fit for your needs. Remember, selecting the right trading account is a critical step towards achieving success in the dynamic world of financial markets.


27/06/2024
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Fusion Markets Celebrates 5 Years

Five years ago, if you had told us that Fusion would be trading over $130 billion USD in volume monthly or served tens of thousands of clients around the world, we would have laughed. Reflecting on our journey, it's astonishing to see how far we've come from those early days in a modest WeWork office in the heart of Melbourne.

 

To mark this milestone, we want to give back to you, our valued clients. You are the ones who have helped us grow into one of the best forex brokerages in the industry, and you deserve to celebrate with us. That's why we're offering 10% rebates on all commissions for trades opened on May 31st, Fusion’s birthday. Read more about it here.



Fusion Markets 5 Year Promotion 


While we still have a long way to go to achieve our mission of making low-cost trading available to everyone, everywhere, it has been an incredible journey so far. We want to share with you how Fusion has evolved into one of the world’s leading low-cost trading platforms, serving traders in over 160 countries.



Humble Beginnings


Moving Up


The Future


The 5 Year Anniversary Promotion


A Timeline of Our Proudest Moments




Humble Beginnings


It all started with me (Phil) in January 2019 in a small co-working space, working with our development team to craft what would eventually become the client hub and website. Once we were able to go live and accept clients, I was joined by my friend and former colleague, David Swinden (our COO). To keep our client’s costs low, we had to keep things pretty lean back then. I look back fondly at when we were celebrating some new milestone, cutting an almond croissant (from legendary Melbourne Lune, of course) in half to make every dollar count. We both had newborns, so our routines were early mornings and late nights after the kids’ bath. We were exhausted, but we were driven by the ambition to build something extraordinary.



Fusion's First Office

Fusion Market's First WeWork Office



We already knew what we needed to do to deliver radically low costs, so we weren't worried about that. We’d spent over two decades between us helping build some of Australia’s biggest brokers. When we launched, traders immediately recognised the value we were offering. Providing $4.5 commissions with 0.0 spreads in a market dominated by $7 commission brokerages was an easy value proposition. But we didn’t expect it to go as well as it did. Traders seeking more profitability on their trades came to us in droves. In our first year, we won a number of awards like “Best MT4 Broker” and “Lowest Spreads Broker” from Brokerchooser. We were on our way, delivering value to our traders from day one.



Moving Up


As our team grew, so did our need for space. We moved into our first official office in between multiple Melbourne COVID lockdowns, located in Cremorne, Melbourne’s startup mecca. What we didn’t know at the time was that our neighbour was a bustling personal training studio. The middle of the day often brought the sound of loud techno music and heavy deadlifts constantly thudding against the walls, reverberating throughout the whole office.



Fusion Markets First Official Office

Building desks and getting set up in Fusion Markets' First Official Office



Despite the noise, we thrived. Our team—experts in their fields with an insatiable hunger for success—channelled this expertise directly to our clients. In that office, we introduced MetaTrader 5, $0 Commission US Share CFD trading, Fusion+ (our proprietary copy trading platform), and several industry-leading trading tools. We were moving fast with no signs of slowing down, just the way we liked it.


The next turning point came when we moved to the big leagues with our office in South Yarra. This move not only signified our growth but also underscored our commitment to providing a better working environment for those who were on the journey with us and set us up for the future with space for 60+ desks. We wanted our team to be at their best to deliver the best possible trading experience for our clients and we found it in our new digs.



South Yarra HQFiring on all Cylinders at Fusion Markets' South Yarra HQ



We started hitting our stride. Our dedication to excellence and customer satisfaction drove us to introduce several new products and services: we launched our exclusive Live Spreads tool, platforms such as cTrader, TradingView, extended our support hours to 24/7, and even updated our Client Hub. Our clients were getting bombarded with new improvements and features. Those awards from our first year? We're humbled to have won them and more every year since.

 

It's hard to encapsulate five years in a short blog post, but I wanted to highlight the essence of who we are and how we got here. Perseverance, finding the best people around the world and an unyielding commitment to saving our clients' money are the cornerstones of our journey and our current identity. That will never change.



The Future


The most exciting aspect of this journey is that we’re really just getting started. This year, we have some of our most exciting features in the pipeline: automating client withdrawals (24/7), revamping our refer-a-friend program, and launching our new spot cryptocurrency exchange, Day1x (Click the link to join the waitlist). And that’s only scratching the surface.

 

If you’re reading this (thank you for reading this far!), you are a core part of why we’re here today and a beneficiary of our relentless efforts to provide an unparalleled trading experience you won’t find anywhere else. To show our gratitude, we’re making sure you get to celebrate with us. Read more about our 5 Year Anniversary offering below.



The 5 Year Anniversary Promotion



Fusion Markets 5 year Anniversary


We’re giving you 10% rebates on all commissions for trades opened on May 31st. This will be full round-turn commissions, so you don’t need to close your trade on the 31st. As long as it’s opened on May 31st (at any part of the trading day—00:01 to 23:59 server time), you’ll get a 10% rebate credited to your account (for both Zero and Classic accounts).

 

We’ve seen other companies celebrate their anniversaries but never give anything back to those who helped get them there. That’s what this birthday is all about. It's saying “thank you” by going to the heart of what makes Fusion tick; putting that little bit extra back into your pocket.

 

You can read the full terms and conditions here.

And here for ASIC Pro traders.



A Quick Recap of Some of Our Proudest Moments


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22/05/2024
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Currency Pair Correlations: Enhancing Forex Trading Strategies

Read Time: 12 Minutes 


In the dynamic world of forex trading, understanding and effectively utilising currency pair correlations can significantly enhance trading strategies. For intermediate to advanced traders seeking to deepen their understanding and optimise their approach, delving into the nuances of currency pair correlations is essential. This comprehensive guide will explore the intricacies of currency pair correlations, their relevance in forex trading, and advanced techniques for leveraging correlations to enhance trading strategies.



Contents


Introduction to Currency Pair Correlations

Types of Correlations

Factors Influencing Correlations

Understanding Correlation Coefficients 

Utilising Correlations in Trading Strategies

Identifying Trading Opportunities

Monitoring Correlation Changes

Practical Examples and Case Studies

Conclusion



Introduction to Currency Pair Correlations


Currency pair correlations are a fundamental aspect of forex trading, providing valuable insights into the relationships between different currency pairs. By analysing these correlations, traders can diversify their portfolios, manage risk more effectively, and identify potential trading opportunities.


Currency pair correlations measure the statistical relationship between two currency pairs, indicating how closely their price movements are associated. These correlations can be positive, negative, or neutral, providing valuable information about the interplay between different currencies in the forex market.


Each currency is driven by its own fundamental factors. For example, both New Zealand and Canada are commodity-driven currencies. New Zealand is driven by a strong export of agricultural and dairy product exports, and Canada is heavily involved in oil production and exports and thus is often positively correlated with the price of crude oil. A trader looking for correlations would be smart to analyse the data and price movements of both types of commodities in order to determine if there will be a correlation between the two currencies.


Understanding currency pair correlations is crucial for forex traders seeking to optimize their trading strategies and maximise profitability. By incorporating correlations into their analysis, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and make more informed trading decisions.

 



Types of Correlations


Positive Correlations


Positive correlations occur when the price movements of two currency pairs are positively related, meaning they tend to move in the same direction. For example, the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs often exhibit positive correlations, as both currencies are positively correlated with the US dollar. Similarly, AUD/USD and NZD/USD are also closely correlated give that both their currency values are directly impacted by the US Dollar and China trade.


Positive correlations can be leveraged by traders to identify trends and capitalise on momentum in the market. By trading currency pairs with positive correlations, traders can amplify their returns and exploit opportunities for profit.



Negative Correlations


Negative correlations occur when the price movements of two currency pairs are inversely related, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. For instance, the USD/JPY and EUR/USD pairs may display negative correlations, as the US dollar and Japanese yen often move in opposite directions. Another example of a negatively correlated pair is USD/CNY (US Dollar / Chinese Yuan) .


Negative correlations can be utilised by traders for hedging purposes and risk management. By trading currency pairs with negative correlations, traders can offset potential losses and diversify their portfolios to mitigate risk.


 

Neutral Correlations


Neutral correlations occur when there is no significant relationship between the price movements of two currency pairs. In this case, the correlation coefficient is close to zero, indicating that the price movements of the two currency pairs are independent of each other.


While neutral correlations may not provide immediate trading opportunities, they are still valuable for advanced traders seeking to analyse market trends and anticipate potential shifts in market sentiment.




Factors Influencing Correlations


Numerous factors can influence currency pair correlations, ranging from economic indicators to geopolitical events. Understanding these factors is essential for traders seeking to anticipate market movements and adapt their strategies accordingly.



Economic Indicators


Economic indicators, such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and interest rate decisions, can have a significant impact on currency pair correlations. For example, positive economic data from the US may strengthen the US dollar and lead to positive correlations between USD pairs.


Advanced traders should closely monitor key economic indicators and assess their potential impact on currency pair correlations. By staying informed about economic developments, traders can anticipate market trends and position themselves accordingly.



Geopolitical Events


Geopolitical events, such as elections, geopolitical tensions, and trade disputes, can also influence currency pair correlations. For instance, uncertainty surrounding Brexit negotiations may lead to increased volatility and negative correlations between GBP pairs.


Advanced traders should be vigilant about geopolitical developments and their potential impact on currency pair correlations. By analysing geopolitical risks and their implications for the forex market, traders can make more informed trading decisions and mitigate potential risks.



Market Sentiment


Market sentiment, including investor risk appetite and market volatility, can affect currency pair correlations. During periods of heightened risk aversion, safe-haven currencies like the US dollar and Japanese yen may strengthen, leading to negative correlations with riskier currencies such as the Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar.


Traders should monitor market sentiment indicators and assess their impact on currency pair correlations. By gauging investor sentiment and market dynamics, traders can identify trading opportunities and adjust their strategies accordingly.


 

Understanding Correlation Coefficients


Correlation coefficients provide a quantitative measure of the strength and direction of the relationship between two currency pairs. Advanced traders should understand how to interpret correlation coefficients and leverage this information to optimise their trading strategies.



Calculation and Interpretation


Correlation coefficients are calculated using historical price data for the currency pairs under consideration. A correlation coefficient close to +1 or -1 indicates a strong correlation, while a coefficient close to 0 suggests no significant relationship.


Traders should interpret correlation coefficients in the context of their trading strategies and market analysis. By analysing correlation coefficients, traders can identify pairs with strong correlations and capitalise on trading opportunities.




Visualisation with Correlation Matrices



Correlation matrices or charts provide visual representations of correlations between multiple currency pairs. These matrices allow advanced traders to quickly identify correlated and uncorrelated pairs and assess the diversification potential of their portfolios.


Advanced traders should utilise correlation matrices to visualise relationships between currency pairs and identify patterns or trends. By analysing correlation matrices, traders can make more informed decisions about portfolio diversification and risk management.



 

Utilising Correlations in Trading Strategies


Traders can incorporate currency pair correlations into their trading strategies to optimise performance and maximise profitability. By leveraging correlations effectively, traders can identify trading opportunities and mitigate potential risks.




Diversification and Hedging


Positive correlations between currency pairs can be utilised for diversification purposes, allowing traders to spread risk across correlated assets. Additionally, negative correlations can be used for hedging purposes, where positions in one currency pair are offset by positions in a negatively correlated pair to mitigate risk.


Advanced traders should assess the correlations between currency pairs and adjust their portfolios accordingly. By diversifying their holdings and hedging against adverse movements, traders can protect their capital and optimise their risk-return profile.




Correlation-Based Trading Strategies


Correlation-based trading strategies involve identifying and trading currency pairs with strong correlations. Pair trading strategies involve simultaneously buying one currency pair while selling another negatively correlated pair. Portfolio optimisation strategies aim to create diversified portfolios with uncorrelated assets to minimise risk and maximise returns.


Traders should develop robust trading strategies based on their analysis of currency pair correlations. By incorporating correlation-based strategies into their trading plans, traders can enhance their performance and achieve their financial goals.

 

 

 

Identifying Trading Opportunities


Traders can use correlations to identify trading opportunities based on the strength and direction of correlations between currency pairs. For example, if two positively correlated pairs temporarily diverge in price, traders may consider trading the pair that lags behind in anticipation of convergence.


Advanced traders should conduct thorough analysis of currency pair correlations and market trends to identify trading opportunities. By staying informed about market developments and leveraging correlations effectively, traders can capitalise on profitable trading opportunities.




Risk Management Techniques


While currency pair correlations can be beneficial for enhancing trading strategies, traders should implement proper risk management techniques to mitigate potential losses.




Position Sizing


Adjusting position sizes based on the correlation between currency pairs can help traders manage risk effectively. Traders may choose to reduce position sizes or avoid trading highly correlated pairs to minimise exposure to correlated market movements.


Advanced traders should carefully consider their risk tolerance and adjust their position sizes accordingly. By implementing appropriate position sizing techniques, traders can protect their capital and preserve their profitability.




Stop-Loss Orders


Using stop-loss orders can help limit losses and protect trading capital in the event of adverse price movements. Traders should place stop-loss orders based on the volatility and correlation of currency pairs to ensure adequate risk protection.


Advanced traders should set stop-loss orders based on their analysis of currency pair correlations and market conditions. By using stop-loss orders effectively, traders can minimise potential losses and preserve their trading capital.



Monitoring Correlation Changes


Currency pair correlations can fluctuate over time and in response to evolving market conditions. Advanced traders must consistently track correlation coefficients and modify their trading strategies to align with shifting market dynamics. By remaining attentive to changes in currency pair correlations and adeptly adjusting their trading approaches, traders can optimise their performance and effectively pursue their trading objectives.



 

Practical Examples and Case Studies


To illustrate the application of currency pair correlations in forex trading, let's consider some practical examples and case studies.



 Example 1: Diversification


A trader with a long position in EUR/USD may consider diversifying their portfolio by adding a short position in GBP/USD, which has a positive correlation with EUR/USD. This allows the trader to spread risk across multiple currency pairs and reduce exposure to adverse movements in the euro-dollar exchange rate.



 Example 2: Hedging

During periods of heightened market volatility, a trader holding a long position in AUD/USD may hedge their exposure by taking a short position in USD/JPY, which has a negative correlation with AUD/USD. This helps mitigate potential losses resulting from adverse movements in the Australian dollar-US dollar exchange rate.



Case Study: Correlation-Based Trading


A trader identifies a strong positive correlation between USD/CAD and crude oil prices due to Canada's significant oil exports. The trader takes a long position in USD/CAD and a short position in crude oil futures, anticipating that an increase in oil prices will lead to a corresponding appreciation of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar. This correlation-based trading strategy allows the trader to profit from the relationship between the two assets.




Conclusion


Currency pair correlations are a powerful tool for intermediate to advanced forex traders seeking to optimise their trading strategies and maximise profitability. By understanding the different types of correlations, analysing the factors influencing correlations, and leveraging correlation coefficients effectively, traders can enhance their performance and achieve their financial goals. Implementing proper risk management techniques is essential to mitigate potential losses and ensure long-term success in forex trading. By incorporating currency pair correlations into their trading plans and adapting to changing market conditions, traders can navigate the complexities of the forex market and achieve consistent profitability.


18/03/2024
Beginners
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A Beginner’s Guide to Trading Forex

Read Time: 13 Minutes


Embarking on your forex trading journey might seem daunting at first, but fret not! We’ve put together all the information you need to get started. 


This guide is your friendly companion, packed with real-world examples, easy-to-grasp basics, newbie-friendly strategies, handy tips, and a step-by-step roadmap to kickstart your forex adventures.



Contents 


Introduction to Forex Trading

How the Forex Market Works

Getting started in Forex Trading

Developing a Strategy 

Practical Tips for Beginners

Resources for Further Learning



Introduction to Forex Trading


Foreign exchange trading, or forex trading, is the process of buying and selling currencies in the global financial markets. It is one of the largest and most liquid markets in the world, with an average daily trading volume estimated to exceed USD$7 trillion. Unlike traditional stock markets, forex trading operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, allowing traders to participate in the market at any time.


Understanding currency pairs


Forex trading involves the exchange of one currency for another at an agreed-upon price. This is done with the aim of profiting from fluctuations in exchange rates. Currencies are traded in pairs, where one currency is bought while the other is sold. The most commonly traded currency pairs, or ‘the majors’ as they’re more commonly referred to, include EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar), GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar), AUD/USD (Australian Dollar/US Dollar), NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar), USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen), USD/CAD (US Dollar/Canadian Dollar), and USD/CHF (US Dollar/Swiss Franc).


Examples of other currency pairs, most often referred to as “crosses”, are AUD/JPY (Australian Dollar/Japanese Yen), GBP/NZD (British Pound/New Zealand Dollar), EUR/CAD (Euro/Canadian Dollar) and so forth.


And finally, less-traded currency pairs are referred to as “exotics”. Examples of these include USD/TRY (US Dollar/Turkish Lira), USD/HUF (US Dollar/Hungarian Forint). It’s important to note that exotic pairs tend to have wider spreads and higher volatility compared to major and minor pairs.


Uses of the forex market


The forex market is used by many players, for many different reasons. Retail traders aim at buying or selling a currency to take advantage of short-term fluctuations in price, whereas corporates who conduct regular international trade often use the forex market to hedge against their local currency weakening.


Large-scale players such as hedge funds or investment firms, will use the foreign exchange market to take advantage of divergences in interest rates between two nations in the form of a carry trade.


For more information on the types of forex trading, head to Part Four.


Reading Currency Pair Quotes


Currency pair quotes consist of two prices: the bid price and the ask price. The bid price represents the price at which you can sell the base currency, while the ask price represents the price at which you can buy the base currency. The difference between the bid and ask prices is known as the spread, which represents the broker's profit margin.


In forex trading, currency pairs are quoted in pips, short for "price interest point," representing the smallest possible price movement. For most major currency pairs, prices are quoted with four decimal points, indicating a change of 1/100 of one percent or 1 basis point. However, the Japanese Yen is an exception, trading with only two decimal points.


For instance, if the bid price for the EUR/USD pair is quoted as 1.19040, this breakdown refers to the five decimal places displayed on the market watch.


Pips EURUSD

How the Forex Market Works


In order to trade the foreign exchange market effectively, you need to understand the nuts and bolts of how it works.


The forex market is decentralised, meaning that there is no central exchange where all transactions take place. Instead, trading occurs over-the-counter (OTC) through a global network of banks, financial institutions, and individual traders. Some of the larger players in the forex market are Deutsche Bank, UBS, Citi Bank, RBS and more.


Prices are determined by supply and demand dynamics, with exchange rates fluctuating based on economic indicators, geopolitical events, and market sentiment.


How the system works


Market makers are key players in the forex world. They establish both the buying (bid) and selling (ask) prices, which are visible to everyone on their platforms. Their role extends to facilitating transactions with a diverse clientele, including banks and individual traders. By consistently quoting prices, they inject liquidity into the market. As counterparties, market makers engage in every trade, ensuring a seamless flow: when you sell, they buy, and vice versa.


Electronic Communications Networks (ECNs) play a crucial role in forex trading by aggregating prices from various market participants like banks, market makers, and fellow traders. They showcase the most competitive bid and ask quotes on their platforms, drawing from this pool of prices. While ECN brokers also act as counterparts in trades, they differ from market makers in their settlement approach rather than fixed pricing. Unlike fixed spreads, ECN spreads fluctuate based on market activity, sometimes even hitting zero during peak trading times, especially with highly liquid currency pairs like the majors.


Direct Market Access (DMA) empowers buy-side firms to directly access liquidity for securities they aim to buy or sell through electronic platforms offered by third-party providers. These firms, clients of sell-side entities like brokerages and banks, maintain control over trade execution while leveraging the infrastructure of sell-side firms, which may also function as market makers.


Straight Through Processing (STP) represents a significant leap in trading efficiency, transitioning from the traditional T+3 settlement to same-day settlement. One of its notable advantages is the reduction of settlement risk. By expediting transaction processing, STP enhances the likelihood of timely contract settlement. Its core objective is to streamline transaction processing by electronically transmitting information, eliminating redundant data entry and enabling simultaneous dissemination to multiple parties when necessary.


Market Makers Forex


Getting Started in Forex Trading


Choosing a Broker


When selecting a forex broker, it's essential to not only consider the fees, but also regulatory compliance, trading platform, and customer support. Look for brokers regulated by reputable authorities such as the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the UK or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US.


Here at Fusion Markets we’re dedicated to offering a quality service with an affordable fee structure. You can learn more about trading forex or view our licences


Setting Up Your Trading Account


Once you've chosen a broker, the next step is to open a trading account. This typically involves completing an online application, submitting identification documents, and funding your account. Forex brokers offer various account types to suit different trading preferences, including standard accounts, mini accounts, and demo accounts for practice trading.


Before risking real money, practice trading with a demo account to familiarise yourself with the trading platform and test your trading strategy in a simulated environment. Demo accounts allow you to gain valuable experience without the risk of financial loss. We also offer demo trading for those who want to test the water first.


Developing a Strategy


Identify Your Trading Style


Before developing a trading strategy, it's essential to identify your trading style, whether it's day trading, swing trading, or position trading. Your trading style will dictate the timeframe you trade on and the types of setups you look for in the market.


Below are the types of pros and cons of each trading style:


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Types of Analysis


Fundamental Analysis


Unlike technical analysis, which primarily relies on historical price data, fundamental analysis examines economic indicators, monetary policies, geopolitical events, and other macroeconomic factors to gauge the strength and direction of a currency's movement.


Central to fundamental analysis is the understanding that currency prices are ultimately driven by supply and demand dynamics, which in turn are influenced by broader economic conditions. For example, factors such as interest rates, inflation rates, GDP growth, unemployment levels, and trade balances can all impact a currency's value.


One of the key concepts in fundamental analysis is interest rate differentials. Central banks use interest rates as a tool to control inflation and stimulate economic growth. Currencies with higher interest rates tend to attract more investors seeking higher returns on their investments, leading to an appreciation in their value relative to currencies with lower interest rates. Traders closely monitor central bank announcements and economic reports to anticipate changes in interest rates and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.


Another important aspect of fundamental analysis is the assessment of economic indicators. These indicators provide insights into the health of an economy and can influence currency prices. For example, strong GDP growth and low unemployment rates are typically associated with a robust economy and may lead to appreciation in the currency. Conversely, high inflation or rising unemployment may weaken a currency.


Geopolitical events can also have a significant impact on currency prices. Political instability, conflicts, trade tensions, and other geopolitical factors can create uncertainty in the market and cause fluctuations in currency prices. Traders must stay informed about geopolitical developments and assess their potential impact on currency markets.


While fundamental analysis provides valuable insights into the long-term trends and direction of currency markets, it is important to note that currency prices can also be influenced by short-term factors and market sentiment. Therefore, traders often use a combination of fundamental and technical analysis to make informed trading decisions.



Technical Analysis


Technical analysis involves studying historical price data and using various charting tools and indicators to identify patterns and trends. Common technical analysis tools include moving averages, trendlines, and oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Traders use technical analysis to make short-term trading decisions based on price action and market momentum.


Technical analysis is a cornerstone of forex trading, offering traders a systematic approach to interpreting market dynamics and making informed trading decisions based on historical price movements and market statistics. Unlike fundamental analysis, which focuses on economic indicators and macroeconomic factors, technical analysis relies solely on price data and trading volume to forecast future price movements.


At its core, technical analysis is based on the efficient market hypothesis, which posits that all relevant information is already reflected in an asset's price. Therefore, by analysing past price movements, traders believe they can identify recurring patterns and trends that may indicate potential future price directions.


One of the fundamental concepts in technical analysis is that of support and resistance levels. Support represents a price level where buying interest is sufficiently strong to prevent the price from falling further, while resistance is a level where selling pressure is sufficient to halt an upward price movement. Traders use these levels to identify potential entry and exit points for their trades.


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Example of support and resistance areas on EURUSD Daily chart


Another key tool in technical analysis is chart patterns, which are formed by the recurring movements of prices over time. Common chart patterns include triangles, flags, and head and shoulders formations. By recognising these patterns, traders attempt to predict future price movements and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.


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In addition to chart patterns, technical analysts also utilise technical indicators to aid in their analysis. These indicators are mathematical calculations based on price and volume data and are used to identify trends, momentum, volatility, and other aspects of market behavior. Popular technical indicators include moving averages, oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and trend-following indicators such as the Average Directional Index (ADX).


While technical analysis is a powerful tool for forex traders, it is not without its limitations. Critics argue that technical analysis is subjective and prone to interpretation bias, as different analysts may draw different conclusions from the same set of data. Moreover, technical analysis does not account for fundamental factors such as economic news and geopolitical events, which can have a significant impact on currency prices.


Despite these limitations, technical analysis remains an indispensable tool for forex traders worldwide. By understanding and applying technical analysis principles, traders can gain valuable insights into market trends and dynamics, allowing them to make more informed trading decisions and improve their overall trading performance.

 


Risk Management


Setting Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders


Stop-loss orders are used to limit losses by automatically closing a trade at a predetermined price level. Take-profit orders, on the other hand, are used to lock in profits by closing a trade when the price reaches a specified target. By using stop-loss and take-profit orders, traders can manage risk and control their downside exposure.


Position Sizing


Position sizing involves determining the appropriate amount of capital to risk on each trade based on factors such as account size, risk tolerance, and the probability of success. A common rule of thumb is to risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital on any single trade to preserve capital and avoid significant drawdowns.

 

Your Strategy


Once you’ve determine what style of trading would suit you best, you now need to develop a strategy. There are thousands of different strategies out there so you have the choice of learning one from someone else, or developing your own.


Regardless, some common strategies include:


Trend Following Strategies


Trend following strategies in forex trading involve identifying and capitalising on established market trends. Traders employing this approach aim to enter positions in the direction of the prevailing trend, whether it's upward (bullish) or downward (bearish), and ride the momentum for as long as possible. These strategies typically utilise technical indicators, such as moving averages and trendlines, to confirm the direction of the trend and determine optimal entry and exit points. The goal of trend following strategies is to capture significant portions of a trend's movement while minimising losses during market reversals.


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NZDUSD Daily Chart showing optimal entry points to go short during a bearish trend.



Range-bound strategies


Range-bound strategies in forex trading focus on exploiting price movements within defined ranges or boundaries. Traders employing this approach identify periods when a currency pair is trading within a relatively narrow price range, bounded by support and resistance levels. Instead of following a trend, range-bound traders seek to buy near support and sell near resistance, aiming to profit from the price being restricted to the range highs and lows.


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USDJPY 15min chart with optimal buy and sell signals for a range-bound strategy



Breakout Strategies


Breakout trading strategies in forex involve capitalising on significant price movements that occur when an asset's price breaks through predefined support or resistance levels. Traders employing this approach wait for a clear breakout from the established range and then enter positions in the direction of the breakout, anticipating continued momentum in that direction. Breakout traders typically use technical indicators, such as trendlines, moving averages, and volatility measures, to identify potential breakout opportunities and confirm the strength of the breakout. The goal of breakout trading strategies is to capture rapid price movements and profit from the subsequent price trend.


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Example of an opportune entry for a bullish breakout trade on EURUSD 4-hour chart


The key to developing a strategy that works for you is by studying the charts and thinking about what makes sense to you. If you think patterns make sense as they identify areas of consolidation which can lead to a breakout, then pattern trading could be a good fit for you.


It’s important for any trader to stick with their chosen strategy and not switch strategies every time they encounter a losing streak.


Practical Tips for Beginners


 

Maintain a Trading Journal


Keeping a trading journal allows traders to track their performance, analyse their trades, and identify areas for improvement. A trading journal should include details such as entry and exit points, trade rationale, risk-reward ratio, and emotional state. By reviewing past trades, traders can learn from their mistakes and refine their trading strategies over time.

 

Avoid Overleveraging


While leverage can amplify profits, it also increases the risk of significant losses. Avoid overleveraging by using leverage cautiously and only trading with capital you can afford to lose. A general rule is to keep leverage levels below 10:1 to mitigate risk effectively. The best position is cash. You should ensure you’re only taking the most high-probability set-ups that are in-line with your strategy.


Stay Disciplined


Maintain discipline in your trading approach by sticking to your trading plan and avoiding emotional decision-making. Avoid chasing losses or deviating from your strategy based on fear or greed. Consistency and discipline are key to long-term success in forex trading. Sometimes it’s best to walk away from the charts and come back the next day with a clearer head.


Manage Emotions Effectively


Trading can be emotionally challenging, with the potential for both euphoria and despair. Learn to manage your emotions effectively by practicing mindfulness techniques, maintaining a positive mindset, and taking regular breaks from the market. Remember that losses are a natural part of trading, and it's essential to stay resilient and focused on your long-term goals.


We highly recommend reading our article on the Top 10 Hidden Biases here.



Be realistic with your expectations


Trading can be very lucrative, but it can also be very costly. Traders should be realistic in their expectations – what % will you aim for each month? How much are you going to risk? Risking 20% of your equity per trade will be great on winning trades, but it won’t take long for you to eradicate your entire balance on a handful of losses. Whereas risking 1% equity per trade will allow you to conserve as much capital as possible, whilst still gaining 1%+ per winning trade.



Resources for Further Learning


To continue your forex trading education, consider exploring the following resources:


  • Books: "Currency Trading for Dummies" by Brian Dolan, "Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques" by Steve Nison, and "Market Wizards" by Jack D. Schwager.
  • Online Courses: Investopedia Academy, Udemy, and Coursera offer a variety of forex trading courses for beginners and advanced traders.
  • Forums and Communities: Join online forums and communities such as Forex Factory, BabyPips and TradingView to connect with other traders, share ideas, and learn from experienced professionals.

 

Ready to get started?


Sign up for a free Demo account with us today.











06/03/2024
Market Analysis
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GBP/USD: An Overview

The forex symbol GBP/USD indicates how much the British Pound (abbreviated as GBP) is worth in relation to the US Dollar (abbreviated as USD). This article provides traders information on how much USD is needed to buy one GBP. Forex traders call an exchange of this pair as “trading the cable,” a nod to how New York and London used to transmit trading information.

 

The GBP/USD pair is among the oldest currency pairs traded in the world. It is also among the most popular pairs to trade and is considered a major forex pair.

 

If you’re considering trading this pair, read on for a quick dive into the history of these currencies, their dynamics, and how you can trade this pair.

If you want to read more articles about our pairs, check out our posts on: USD/JPY and EUR/CHF.

 

Currency background


The British Pound (GBP)

 

GBP is the official currency of the United Kingdom and its territories. Its history can be traced back to continental Europe. With over 1,000 years of history, it is one of the oldest, if not the oldest, currency still in use. In 1694, the Bank of England was established, and banknotes entered circulation shortly after.

 

The GBP’s importance goes beyond the UK and its territories. It used to be the dominant international currency before USD took over in the 20th century. However, it is still among the most widely used currencies for financial transactions worldwide, along with the USD and the Euro (EUR). Further, as of 2021, the GBP comprised 5% of official foreign reserves (i.e., share of currency reserves held by central banks).

 

The US Dollar (USD)

 

USD is the official currency of the United States, dating back to the 18th century. In 1785, the US adopted the dollar sign, which is now, perhaps, the most recognizable currency symbol in the world.

 

The USD plays a major role in the global economy, dominating international finance. It is the most active currency for international payments. It has also been the top international reserve currency since World War II, with an over 50% share of global reserves. In forex markets, almost 90% of all transactions involve USD.

 

The Plaza Accord

 

No background of these two currencies would be complete without mentioning the historic Plaza Accord.

 

In 1985, the US, UK, France, Germany, and Japan—then known as the G-5—agreed to jointly intervene in the currency markets to correct trade imbalances. The devaluation of USD was meant to reduce the increasing US trade deficits.


In a couple of years that followed the agreement, the USD declined in value by about 50%, while GBP and the other currencies appreciated by about 50%.

 

Factors you need to consider in trading GBP/USD

 

The GBP/USD pair is among the most liquid in the forex market, with smooth price movements as there’s enough volume of trade in the market.

 

Various factors move the prices of currency pairs in the forex market. For most currency pairs, prices are affected by economic trends and geopolitical circumstances, both locally and globally.

 

Here are some factors that drive the GBP/USD dynamics:

 

Economy

 

Both the US and the UK are among the largest economies in the world.

 

Due to its size and role in the global economy, the economic situation and policies in the US affect many economies and markets worldwide. In general, the GBP/USD rises when the UK economy grows more than US economy.

 

If you’re trading US-based pairs, you can keep up to date with US economy updates through government data releases and economic reports or Fusion's economic calendar, which includes data such as GDP growth, interest rate decisions and balance of trade.

 

Trade balance

 

The US is one of the three largest players in global trade, along with the European Union and China. The US is among UK’s major trading partners, accounting for about 10% of UK imports and receiving over 15% of UK goods exports.

 

The trade balance situation generates some volatility for GBP/USD. GBP/USD rises when current account balance (i.e., the balance of trade between the two countries) increases for the UK.

 

Central Bank policies

 

The Federal Reserve (Fed) sets the monetary policy in the US, a key determinant of currency strength, with the aim of stabilizing US prices and maximizing employment. In the UK, the Bank of England (BoE) sets the interest rate to maintain low and stable inflation. It reviews rates every 6 weeks.

 

A rule of thumb here is that the pair rises when the BoE interest rates rise more than the Fed rates.

 

As the USD plays an important role in international markets, movements in interest rates set by the Fed have a critical impact on the movement of many currencies worldwide, including GBP. In 2022, steep rate increases have strengthened the US dollar, causing other currencies to dive as investors rush to USD.

 

Geopolitical conditions and global risks

 

Like other currency pairs, the GBP/USD is also driven by political uncertainties and global risks.

 

The GBP took a hit following the global recession in the late 2000s. In 2016, after the announcement of Brexit, the GBP dived to its lowest against the USD, as UK’s decision created uncertainties to how its trade prospects would pan out.


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GBP/USD and GBP/EUR - 2014-2021


As USD is a global reserve currency, it serves as a haven at times of global uncertainties. During the height of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the GBP/USD rate dropped by 12% as investors sold the GBP and rushed to the safer USD.

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GBP/USD and GBP/EUR - 2007-2010


Conclusion

 

Is the GBP/USD pair worth going into?

 

The US and the UK are among the largest economies in the world, with both USD and GBP playing important roles in international finance. The two countries share strong economic relations.

 

In forex markets, almost 90% of all transactions involve the USD. Post-1980, the pair has been less volatile, with extreme movements stemming from major global and regional events such as the Brexit and the COVID-19 global situation. The pair is one of the most liquid in the market.

 

If you’re new to the forex market, trading with highly liquid currencies such as GBP/USD could benefit you. This is because many strategists recommend trading in these currency pairs while you’re still improving your grasp of forex trading. You're also in luck, in that, Fusion Markets is the lowest cost regulated broker on the market. Start trading today!  


14/10/2022
Market Analysis
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EUR/CHF: An Overview

The forex symbol EUR/CHF indicates how much the Euro (abbreviated as EUR) is worth in relation to the Swiss Franc (abbreviated as CHF), and how many Swiss Francs you need to buy one Euro. The pair is nicknamed “Euro-swissie” in the FX market.

 

As a cross-currency pair, EUR and CHF are traded directly, without the need to convert to a base currency first. This is also commonly known as currency pairs that do not involve the US Dollar (USD). The EUR/CHF currency pair is among the most popular cross-currencies in the forex market.

 

In this article we breakdown the history of these currencies, their dynamics, and how you can trade this pair. 


For more currency pair breakdowns, check out our USD/JPY Overview.

 

Currency background


The Euro (EUR)

 

As of 2022, 19 out of the 27 member countries of the European Union (EU) use EUR as their official currency.

 

Since its debut in 1999 and entry into circulation in 2002, EUR has become one of the most widely used currencies for financial transactions worldwide, often second only (or at times at par with) USD.

 

Owing to its credibility, EUR has also, until recently, been a relatively stable currency. This stability has allowed it to extend its importance well beyond the EU. Over 50 other countries and territories globally have adopted the EUR as currency or have pegged their currencies to EUR. Furthermore, it accounts for over 20% of global foreign exchange reserves, second only to USD.


The Swiss Franc (CHF)

 

CHF is the official currency of Switzerland, as well as of Liechtenstein. In contrast to EUR, CHF traces its origin over a century back to 1850.

 

CHF is among the top ten most traded currencies globally. It has long been considered a safe-haven currency, owing to the stability of the Swiss economy and its political neutrality. However, unlike EUR, no other country uses CHF as a peg for their own currency.

 

What to consider in trading EUR/CHF

 

Compared to most currency pairs in the market, EUR/CHF experiences fewer price movements. The trends are typically slower and more stable.

 

Several factors affect the prices of currency pairs in the forex market. For most currency pairs, price movements are mostly tied to economic and geopolitical circumstances, both locally and globally.

 

Here are some factors that drive EUR/CHF movements:

 

Economy

 

The EU, as a single market, is one of the largest economies in the world and one of the three most prominent players in global trade. It is Switzerland’s primary trading partner, with the EU accounting for over 60% of Swiss imports and receiving over 40% of Swiss exports. The economic situation in the Eurozone has a history of affecting the Swiss economy, such as in the 2010s.

 

If you’re trading EUR-based pairs, you can keep up to date with happenings in the EU economy through European Commission economic reports, including economic forecasts and reviews, as well as Fusion's Economic Calendar. The European Central Bank also publishes economic bulletins that provide insights on monetary policy, a key determinant of currency strength.

 

Swiss policies

 

The Swiss National Bank, which issues CHF, has traditionally been non-interventionist. Several of its moves, however, have impacted currency markets. In 2011, it pegged the CHF to EUR, in a move to help Swiss businesses to increase their profitability. A few years later, in 2015, it abandoned the peg, stunning investors, causing market turmoil, and leaving a profound impact on the EUR.

 

EUR/CHF chart of Euro Peg and Depeg

EUR/CHF 2011-2015 Weekly Time Frame


Global risks

 

Investors on the move to mitigate global economic risks are drawn to CHF due to its solid reputation for financial stability. In the aftermath of the global financial crisis in the late 2000s, widespread buying of CHF saw a 20% depreciation of EUR to CHF.

 

Geopolitical conditions

 

Investors also turn to CHF in times of political uncertainty in the EU, such as during the Greek sovereign debt crisis following the 2008 financial crisis. Demand for CHF had also soared during the Brexit negotiations, with investors using it as a hedge for protection against Brexit.


Movements in USD

 

A distinct advantage of EUR/CHF is its independence from USD. As they can be directly traded with each other, the pair isolates traders from USD-related volatilities. 


Conclusion 


The EU is one of the largest economies in the world, with EUR used in a majority of global transactions. The EU and Switzerland are not only geographically close, but also share strong economic ties, such as trade relations.

 

The EUR/CHF as a cross-currency pair experiences fewer price movements, with less volatile trends compared to other forex pairs. Both currencies are credible, with CHF long considered a safe-haven currency. Even during the COVID-19 global pandemic, investors have trusted CHF.


If you're looking to trade EUR/CHF, you'll be able to get ultra-tight spreads and $2.25 commissions per lot with Fusion Markets. Don't wait on the sidelines, be part of the action.

 

 

 

 


03/10/2022
Trading and Brokerage
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How to deposit via PayID in your Fusion Hub

Using PayID is a fast and easy way currently available on the Fusion Hub for you to deposit your money into your account as quickly and easily as possible. 

PayID deposits are sent using your own unique PayID Email address for your Fusion account. This will be provided to you when you generate a new PayID Deposit Address via the Payments tab for AUD. When you are on this page, as shown below, you will be able to select the PayID deposit option and then generate this address here.  

 

 

Once you've received your unique Fusion PayID within the Hub, visit your internet banking and make a transfer using "PayID" and choose the option to send via the PayID "Email Address" option. Please note, an incorrect PayID Email will cause your deposit to be unsuccessful and create significant delays. 

 

 

 

To make a new deposit 

  1. Log into your bank 
  2. Create a new payment via PayID (or "pay someone using an email address") 
  3. Enter in the email address found on the deposit screen 
  4. You can enter anything you like in the reference field for your own records, this will not affect the transfer on our end 
  5. Finally, enter the amount you want to send and complete the transfer 


Bank Specific instructions
 

Please note 

Although PayID is a fast way to deposit your funds, your bank may impose a limit on how much you can send - typically around the $1000 mark. If you want to deposit more than this limit, we suggest first depositing as much as your bank allows via PayID, then using another payment method for the remainder. 


Further Questions?
 

If you have any further questions relating to your deposit, please don't hesitate to contact our friendly team via live chat. 


13/01/2022
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Why is MetaTrader 4 so popular?

Anyone who’s into forex trading will undoubtedly have heard of MT4, which stands for MetaTrader 4. It’s the most popular forex trading platform out there, and for good reason. 


Unusually for a technology platform, it is 16 years old and continues to stand the test of time with users around the world and with all sorts of different experience levels. In today’s article, we wanted to provide our thoughts on the reason it’s still so popular 


MT4 was developed and released by MetaQuotes Software in 2005. Throughout its years of existence, it has since grown and made a name for itself as the leading platform in retail forex trading. Nowadays, millions of forex traders around the world use it regularly. 

Foreign exchange brokers like Fusion Markets are also licensed to provide MT4 for their clients. 


While primarily used for forex trading, it also lets a broker easily plug-in the ability to trade indices, cryptocurrency, and other asset classes such as commodities. Brokers like Fusion are offering over 120+ products on MT4.  It’s more than just your everyday exchange platform, though. It’s got excellent built-in charts for those who use technical analysis and its secret weapon, expert advisors are the most popular feature.

Expert Advisors are 3rd party automated trading systems. Something close to 70% of trades executed on MT4 are automated trades and their popularity continues to grow. Add in mobile apps for all platforms, in-built news (or trade ideas like Fusion offers), trading signals and much more, all of this works together to give you a more holistic look into the market to make well-informed trading decisions.

 Here are just a few reasons MT4 continues to remain as popular as ever.


1. It has robots and automated trading

When people think of trading in the financial markets, most people tend to picture sitting around and watching the screen all day.  

Forex is different in that it runs 24/5.  If there is one thing that keeps traders from switching to other trading platforms, it’s the availability of self-developed or 3rd party robots and expert advisors, essentially algorithms that run trading strategies around the clock. This means that forex traders can use programming to automatically execute deals for them when certain conditions are present. Let’s explain a little bit.


Technical analysis of forex trading is a deep topic. There are many methods of analyzing whether a particular currency is worth buying or selling. Among these include moving averages, convergences, and chart patterns. We won’t go into technical analysis in this article but suffice to say that there’s a lot to consider if we want to confirm if a trade should be taken or not. Monitoring different currencies using multiple methods can be exhausting in the forex market, where global currencies are traded 24/5.


Manually monitoring multiple charts is also slow and cumbersome because humans have a limit on how fast they can read and analyze data. That’s where MT4’s automated trading comes in. Using predefined lines of code, the trading robots can scan thousands, of forex markets and check to see if the forex trader’s predefined buy or sell conditions are met. Bridgewater, one of the world’s largest hedge funds uses over 100 million data points. Good luck trying to beat that with just your brain alone. With automated systems like EAs, while those off the shelf are unlikely to have as many data points as Bridgewater, these will still be faster than any human could be.


In forex trading, prices can change in the blink of an eye. Thus, the traders who can execute a deal as fast as possible protect themselves from market fluctuations. Those who prefer to just rely on the wisdom and experience of the more seasoned forex traders can use MT4’s signal trading feature, which basically lets them copy all or some of someone else’s trading moves on the platform. It does this automatically.


Alternatively, you can utilise Fusion’s own copy trading platform, Fusion+. By using MT4’s trading robots, forex traders can just input their commands and let the algorithms/EAs do the heavy lifting.  


2. It capitalizes on the network effect.

Humans are innately social creatures. We want to do what others do, and we want what others have. It’s a convenient way to make ourselves feel secure and validated. If everyone uses a particular forex trading software, others will soon hop in. Network effects refer to technology platforms and refer to the concept that the more users that are on the platform, the stronger the platform becomes. Think about it. No one wants to use Facebook if there are no friends you know on there. Therefore, the more people that use MT4, the more trading groups, videos and resources there will be, the more robots that developers will build for the platform and so on.


According to MetaQuotes, the developer of MT4, the platform now has millions of users and continues to grow. A large part of this is thanks to existing network effects which can be difficult for other platforms to overcome. There are thousands of brokers out there offering MT4 to their clients. Again, the more brokers that offer it, the more newly established forex brokers feel like they have to. For any new broker looking to come into the business, MT4 is the first service they think of because the rest of the business uses it too. Even ‘legacy’ brokers from the 1970’s such as IG have launched a version of MT4. Basically, if a forex trader is not using MT4, they will at least have heard of it. This increases the chances that they will eventually use the platform themselves if speaking to other traders they know.


The whole platform ecosystem becomes like a flywheel and makes it hard for other platforms serving the same market to compete with. 

 
3. It’s easy, fast, and reliable.
 

Despite being a forex trading platform, MT4 does a splendid job at making things simple and easy to learn for its users. Remember the trading robots we talked about? They can all be purchased in MT4’s own Market. Users don’t have to scour the Internet looking for the best trading robot because MT4 has thousands of available ones in their selection.

 

MT4 also offers many trading tools, like market orders, pending orders, and stop orders, which any trader can appreciate. The platform offers 23 analytical objects and 30 technical indicators, along with interactive charts and timeframes to give forex traders all the information that they’ll need right at their fingertips. There’s also mobile trading with MT4. By now, we already know that the forex market runs 24/5, but not all of us are in front of our computers all the time. When we’re out doing something else, the only “computer” we really have is our phone.


Finally, MT4 also gives users relevant alerts and financial news to prepare for unexpected price movements.
 Developing a platform can take years of hard work, mistakes along the way and more. With MT4 you get reliability more than anything else. The bugs have been ironed out and while

we know it’s not the best-looking platform on the market, it is rock-solid and runs on almost every device such as Windows, Mac, iOS, Androids and tablets.  


4. It’s a blank canvas
 

It’s important to note that while many brokers offer this platform to clients, it initially comes as an empty shell. It is what the broker puts into it that makes it so exciting. You can put the equivalent of a Ferrari engine into it or a
Hyundai.  

With Fusion, we have always tried to use the best from day one.  

We are obsessed with making your trading experience better than any other MT4 broker out there.  
 
We launched with strong liquidity providers to undercut our competition and provide a lower cost of trade than other brokers before us. We built tools to help manage your account easily and with a simple interface. For example, we spend a lot of our resources on building tools to make your trading life easier and provide a unique trading experience. Things like the ‘my performance’ feature, Fusion+ copy trading and more.   

 

Summing it up 

In essence, MT4 is like an all-in-one platform for accessing the world’s largest markets. Those interested in the markets can choose a low-cost broker with no minimum deposit like Fusion and be up and running within five minutes. Not sure how, what or when to trade? You can trade with robots and EAs, follow other successful traders via Fusion+, or if you’re keen to learn yourself, then gain access to more resources like videos and trading communities than any other platform available today.  

It’s no wonder that MT4 has reached the level of popularity it currently has. Fast, reliable, filled and filled with something for everyone, it’s no surprise so many people around the world are using it. It’s also hard to see when it might be knocked off the top spot.  


13/08/2021
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Anchors Away!

Or why we tend to rely heavily upon the first piece of information we receive.

 

Our minds can have an enormous impact on our trading and the returns that we generate from it. The way we think, act and behave when we trade or invest is at least as necessary if not more so than our trade selection, particularly in the kind of one-way markets that we have seen post the covid crash.  

 

A rising tide lifts all ships they say, and, in this case, the rising tide of the markets was provided by the printing presses of the major central banks along with the stimulus packages from national governments.

 

However, Central banks won't always be there to rescue us and we need to be aware of the kind of tricks that our brains can play on us if we are to avoid making the wrong trading decisions.

 

One of these tricks has a nautical moniker, anchoring, in which our brain subconsciously latches on to an idea, an assumption or a set of figures and uses that information in decision making, regardless of whether it's accurate or even relevant to the matter at hand.  

 

What's more, as humans, we tend to carry these impaired decision-making processes forward so that we end up using an inherently flawed system and often without realising it.

 

Behavioural psychologists have highlighted these tendencies in their experiments.  

 

In the case of anchoring American academic Professor Jay Edward Russo performed tests on 500 graduate students in which he asked them pairs of questions on history and general knowledge, but, unknown to the students, he had "salted "the questions with erroneous dates and figures.

 

The student's answers invariably reflected the incorrect numbers, which were varied across different groups of students within the experiment, highlighting a clear bias.

 

Professor Russo was effectively projecting those values into the student's subconscious, creating an anchor point.


When we become anchored to figures or a plan of action, we filter new information through that framework, which distorts our perception and decision making.  

 

This can even make us reluctant to change our plan or framework even if the situation calls for it.

 

There are few consequences if any when this happens in an experiment inside a university psychology department. Still, if it happens in the real world like in trading or investing, then there most certainly can be consequences.

 

Anchoring Bias has been described as one of the most robust effects in psychology, the fact that our decisions can be swayed by values not even relevant to the task (or trade) at hand.


Let's say we are negotiating the purchase of a house and I tell you it's worth $1,000,000, and I wouldn't sell it for less. You, as the willing buyer might have only had a price of $800,000 in your head. But all of a sudden, you now are anchored on my price. Not yours. The worst part is that the person who goes first in the negotiation tends to anchor the other party (remember this for the next salary negotiation you need to do with your boss!)

 

The studies even show that if you rolled a pair of two dice, gave the numbers (e.g. 10 and 19) to the study participant, that subconsciously, you would anchor them on these two numbers. Ask them what they would pay for a house, bottle of wine, or in one notorious study, the judges sentencing a criminal, these numbers are in and heavily influencing the participant's decisions whether they like it or not.

 

Anchoring always occurs in making our trading decisions, especially as it might help to explain our fixation with round numbers. E.g. EURUSD at 1.20. Gold at $2000/ounce. DJ30 - 30,000. Once we get hooked on the number, we always use it as a reference point in future, probably because it "feels right".  


Let's say in the past you might have successfully gone long EURUSD at 1.20 earlier in the year, and now whenever it comes back to that number, you will buy it again (the same thing happened to EURUSD at 1.10). You can't explain it, but you had past success with that number and you will gravitate towards it without understanding why.

 

Take a moment to consider some key support and resistance levels on your favourite instruments. Are they round numbers too? Why might that be? Could it be because people are anchored at Gold at $1900? And that every man and his dog has placed their buy orders at that level because it's "good value" or has spent time around that level in the past? Remember that the market is driven by sentiment and agreed upon narratives. Think what else could the crowd be anchored on that might be to your advantage knowing what you know now.


How do we avoid being anchored? 


Given that we don't completely understand the processes that cause anchoring to happen in the first place, we are unlikely to avoid it entirely.  

 

However, by being aware of its existence, we can revisit and retest our assumptions when making important decisions, to ensure that we are acting rationally and basing our decision on the situation at hand, not irrelevant inputs.

 

Perhaps the best way to avoid anchoring in trading is to treat every trade as an individual event and to judge a trading opportunity on its current merits. By doing this, you have a better chance to ignore any reference or prior interactions you have had with the instrument you are trading. It won't be easy to do at first, but it could prove to be a valuable discipline over time. As mentioned, this is crucial to comprehend for putting your stops and limits around key support and resistance levels.


Think about a time you have been fixated on a number. Was it buying a house? A pair of shoes? Trading? Now think whether that number could have been influenced by someone else, e.g. the seller, the shoe store etc.

 

Anchoring can certainly also play a part in other hidden biases and behaviours such as loss aversion (e.g. not wanting to close your open losing trade).

 

The next time that you are about to trade, take time to think about why you are fixated with that number for entering and exiting the trade, and how you reached the decision to pull the trigger. A few moments of reflection might make all the difference.


29/12/2020
Market Analysis
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A quick guide to the sentiment tools in the hub

A wonderful client of ours named Jimmy from up north in Indonesia wanted to learn a little more information about the sentiment tools that we have on offer.  We love helping traders grow and your feedback so figured it deserved its own post.

Because the sentiment is based on advanced Natural Language Processing (NLP), an advanced form of Artificial Intelligence, we know it might seem daunting to look at on first glance, so hopefully, you find the below Q&A interesting.  


What is the sentiment chart telling me? Is there any significance to the “wave” itself?  

The wave line is the sentiment score. The wave effect was created to show that contrary to prices on the particular asset class, the sentiment is not a precise measure. It is more a proxy than anything else.  
 

What is the sentiment score? How is that calculated?  

The machine learning model creates a sentiment score by scouring all of the words in the sources selected (e.g. nouns, pronouns, adjectives) within the articles it scans each day. In a simplified way, it is the difference of the score of the positive words (e.g. good, very good, great) minus the score of the negative words (e.g. bad, very bad, awful) embedded within the article.  

The calculation is made on a 24h rolling window with a recalculation latency of 15 minutes.  

The usefulness of the current sentiment the score is relatively short term (1-3 weeks).  

 

What is the subjectivity score? How did it arrive at this number? What happens if it goes higher or lower?  

The subjectivity is calculated on the difference between the factual words and the emotional words embedded within an article. If there are a lot of words that fall into the “fear” lexicon for instance compared to factual observation, then the gauge will be more inclined towards subjectivity or irrationality. At 0% the gauge would tell you there is no irrationality from the crowd and any article published is based on factual elements. If the gauge is above 50% and close to 100%, it means the crowd is a bit irrational about the asset and the price of the asset is not a reflection of its fundamental value. This is a great tool to detect bubbles in asset classes like equities.  

 

What is the confidence index?  

The confidence index is a relative index. It looks at the history of the volume of news and will scan over a period of 24 hours. If the volume of news is greater than the average of news published over the last 7 days, it would give you an indication about the quality of the sentiment score and how much trust you should have on it. e.g. if the sentient score is very positive but the confidence is low, you should be sceptical of the sentiment. In summary, the more sources and the more information, the more accurate the AI will be in providing its level of confidence.  


31/08/2020
Market Analysis
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Our Top Five Most Used Tools

Hi Traders,


By popular demand, we wanted to share our top five most used tools and features that are provided to you for free in our client area.


These are a bit like my Top Five Tools for Traders, but these are a little different as they're all internal rather than other websites or companies. 

Here are 5 of the most popular tools (in order) our clients are loving:

#1 - Analyst Views by Trading Central. This is my personal favourite. You can view it in the hub now, download it and use it as an indicator on MT4 desktop (in "Downloads on Hub) or visit your "News" tab in MT4 where it's constantly updated too.

#2 - The Economic Calendar is a must too. Are you using this already? If you're trading and don't know what announcements are coming up, you could easily be blown away by a big move and have no idea why. My favourite is that it will show you the historical price impact of previous announcements. You can even save the future events as a calendar invite!

#3 - News Tab - Knowledge is power. You know that already. You might already have your own news sources which are cool, but with Fusion's news tab, you can create a personalised feed (e.g. only show me EURUSD) or see what's most popular for others. Don't be an uninformed trader.

#4 - Sentiment - I love the idea of knowing what the crowd is bullish or bearish on. What are people talking about? Why are they talking about it? Check out our post on why this is important.

#5 - Technical insight is excellent if you'd like to go into a deeper dive on technical analysis on Forex and Indices. I prefer these charts over MT4 truth be told and want to know short, medium and long term outlook for each trade I'm considering.

That's it for now. We've built these for you and believe they'll truly help you excel as a trader.


#6 – Historical and Live Spreads Tool - with this tool, you can see how spreads have fluctuated over time, as well as the current live spreads. This information can be incredibly valuable in helping you make informed decisions about when to enter and exit trades. No more surprises, no more hidden fees – just transparent, competitive pricing. Read our blog post to learn how spreads actually affect your trading costs. 


To start using these tools now, create a Fusion account.

14/07/2020
Trading and Brokerage
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Why Trading Costs Matter So Much

Fusion Markets prides itself on its low-cost approach to trading, but have you ever wondered why access to low-cost execution is important and what part it might play in your long-term success as a trader?

 

You might not even link the two things together, and I can see why. After all, a few pips of spread, or dollars and cents of commission paid, is small potatoes when you are trading in tens of thousands of dollars worth of currencies and other instruments daily.

 

But not so fast because these costs make a difference in the long-term, and that is the timescale that Fusion wants to be your partner in the markets.

 

Let’s look at some numbers and imagine that you are a moderately active trader with a strategy that you deploy across five instruments daily. On average, you make 20 trades per day. Let’s call you Trader A. You have a friend who deals with another broker using a similar strategy, but they don’t offer Fusion Markets low commission rates. Let’s refer to them as Trader B.

 

You pay our low commission rate of USD 2.25 per trade whilst Trader B pays $5.00 per trade. You both trade 20 times a day, five days a week. That means that you, Trader A, pay $225 per week in commission while your friend, Trader B, pays $500 in commission per week. That’s $275 more than what you pay.

 

Now let’s scale that up...

 

Over a month, that’s a difference of around $1,100 commission, and over the course of the year, Trader B pays an additional $14,300 dollars more in commission than you for the same or similar trades.

 

That means that Trader B will pay away an astonishing $71,500 of additional commission over five years of this type of active trading.

 

Not only does Trader B pay those additional costs, he or she also “pays” the opportunity costs of not having that money available to them. Money that could have been saved or invested or that could have helped pay off the mortgage, the car loan or a nest egg for your kids that much quicker.


All that before we even consider the possibility of compound growth on that money over time.

 

Tighter spreads matter too.

 

Now not only do lower commissions benefit your trading and finances so do tighter spreads. After all, some brokers charge astronomical amounts in spreads.  

 

Spreads are the difference between the bid and ask prices in the market, the prices at which you can buy or sell a financial instrument like a currency pair or equity index.

 

Each time we buy or sell an instrument at the market price, we are said to be” crossing the spread” or if you prefer incurring the cost of spread in our trade.

 

The spread is seen as a cost because we have to make it back before our trade moves into profit.

 

Think of it like this: Instrument A is priced at 100-101. We can sell at 100 and buy at 101.

If we buy a unit of instrument A at 101, we incur an immediate running loss. That’s because our trade is valued at the price that we can sell the unit of instrument A for, and in this case, that’s 100.

 

In making the trade, we have incurred the spread as a cost. To make those costs back, we need to see the price of instrument A move up to 101-102 or higher. If it does that, it means that we now can sell our unit of instrument A at the price we paid for it. That is, we are now at breakeven on the trade.

 

And if the price of instrument A moves to 102-103, then we have a running profit on our trade because the bid price of Instrument A is now above our trade entry-level.

 

Spreads in FX trading may appear small but don’t forget that trade sizes are typically larger here.  Remember that a standard FX lot is US$100,000 of notional value.

 

What’s more, FX trading is leveraged, meaning that clients can gear up their account and at the maximum available leverage of 500:1 (30:1 if you're a retail client with ASIC), that means that a deposit of just US$ 2000 could control 10 FX lots or US$ 1,000,000 worth of a currency pair.

 

Even a small value like the spread in EURUSD grows pretty quickly when you multiply it by another 6 or 7 figure number. So, the difference between a 0.1-0.2 pip spread, that you typically find at Fusion Markets, in this most active of currency pairs, and a 1-2 pip price that you might well find elsewhere, quickly becomes material (in your head, you can do the math - 10-20x the figure is a LOT).  Our Historical and Live Spreads Tool is designed to allow you to see how spreads have changed historically, discover our average, minimum and maximum spreads and, consequently, make better informed trading decisions. 

 

Quite simply, the narrower or tighter that the spread you pay is, then the more chance you have of your trade moving into profit and doing so more quickly. Which, in turn, means more of your trades are potentially viable. Of course, you still have to do the leg work and get the direction of your trade right, but tighter spreads also mean that if you are wrong, and you cut or close the position. Then you are doing so at a more advantageous price, which can help keep your trading losses to a minimum.

 

Think of trading like an Olympic hurdle race. With a low-cost broker, you have a tiny hurdle to jump over in the form of lower costs. Your friend at Broker B has a giant hurdle he has to jump over every time he enters a trade. Who has the better chance of success here? Do you want to jump over a 1 ft hurdle or a 6 ft hurdle?

 

Successful trading is not a get rich quick scheme. It’s about finding and honing a style or system of trading that works for you and applying that to the markets over time. Successful traders often talk about slanting the odds of success in their favour, and they try to do this not just for the trade that’s in front of them now but for all of their trades during the months and years they are active in markets. Having a trading cost base that works in your favour can play a key part in this. It means the margin for error can be 10x lower than what your friend pays at Broker B.


So, isn't it time you stopped paying too much to trade?


07/05/2020
Market Analysis
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Why Your Stop Losses Are (Probably) Wrong

When you start to learn about trading, you'll come across plenty of material about minimising risk and money management, because they're two of the most critical areas of the business. 


Learning to manage risk and preserve trading capital is fundamental to a successful trading journey. 


One area the literature focuses on is the use of stop losses. A stop loss is simply a price level beyond which you choose not to run an unprofitable or losing trade.


But for me, stop losses are one of the most misunderstood tools in a trader's arsenal, and I wanted to offer a different perspective than what is usually found in the research.  


I'll give you a hint; it's in the name!


Knowing your risk

It's important to know the risk you are taking on any given trade, this can be calculated by multiplying the distance of your stop loss, from the entry-level of your trade, by the notional size of your trade.  


In theory, this simple calculation determines the maximum risk or loss that you face on a given trade. I say in theory because that risk figure is not cast in stone.  


Firstly, if the stop loss you use on a trade is just a mental one, i.e. a figure that you have chosen, (but will watch rather than attach to an order), then it will be down to you to monitor price action and trade it. That's a sure recipe for looking like a maniac checking your platform or mobile app every second you get.


Systemise your process

Rather than rely on them being in front of the screen to close a trade (which in a 24/5 market is not that realistic), many traders will place a stop loss to an open position. This is essentially creating an instruction to close the position should the price of the underlying instrument reach a pre-set level.


In doing so, traders are systemising this part of their trading. On the face of it, that sounds like a good idea doesn't it? 


But what if that automated stop loss level was defining the loss you make on a trade and eating away at your trading capital, not protecting it?  


The use of a stop loss should be what its name suggests – the prevention of a loss, not the realisation of losses as 90% of traders currently use their SL for.  


Crowding together

Here's the thing. Traders of all sizes fall foul of "clustering" which means they place their stop losses in the same areas, at the same time.  


For example, at or around round numbers, (e.g. USDJPY 110) just above or just below a moving average or indeed close by the same support or resistance levels everyone else is keenly watching.  


The market is aware of this behaviour and is often on the lookout for these clusters of stop losses. When they are, it's known as a stop hunt.  


But what exactly does that mean? 

Well, a big bank (a price "Maker") might see on their books that they have a cluster of orders around 1.10 on EURUSD, and then be willing to commit large sums of capital to "hunting down" that stop loss level. They do this by moving the underlying price towards it, in a selfish way, to reward themselves, rather than because of natural order flow (and they wonder why they have bad reputations!).  


As an aside, a broker such as Fusion Markets, that typically services "retail" clients, e.g. mum and dad investors, often get accused of doing the same thing, despite the fact we are a price "Taker" not a price "Maker", and have no control over the prices coming through to you, as a client.  


Think about it if the market can find these groups of stop losses and trigger them, then that's easy money for the banks and traders who have the opposing view and positions.  


Remember that in FX trading there is a winner for every loser and vice versa. A successful trader endeavour's to be on the winning side of that relationship more often than not.


A different approach to stop losses

Are we saying then that you should trade without a stop loss? No, we are not! 


But what if we took a different approach to stop loss placement? Instead of lining up to provide a free lunch for the banks, what if we placed our stop losses above our entry price rather than below it?   


Of course, that means that we'd have to risk-manage our trades in a different way.


For example, employing less leverage and taking smaller positions relative to our account size. But that is really what we should be doing anyway. And of course, we would have to monitor performance closely in a trade's early stages, as we should.  


However, if the trade we have taken is the correct one, then our position will soon be on-side, and once we have a buffer between the current price and our entry-level. Then, our stop loss can be locking in profits rather than minimising (or realisation of) our losses.  


Trailing a stop-loss behind a profitable position is something of a holy grail in trading it's often talked about, but rarely seen in the markets. By not acting like the crowd, maybe we can turn the tables on the stop hunters.  


What are you waiting for? Why not stop your losses in the way they're supposed to be stopped? 





23/03/2020
Trading and Brokerage
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That which does not kill us

“That which does not kill us makes us stronger” – Friedrich Nietzsche.


It’s a cheesy quote to start with, I know. Bear with me here.  


It turns out it might be true when it comes to professional success as well.


In a recent paper published in the journal Nature, researchers found out that early-career setbacks can result in a stronger career in the long term – stronger even than people who never had a setback.


To sum up the paper in just a few lines, the experiment compared two groups of scientists: a group that scraped over the line in getting a grant from the US government and compared that to a group that had just missed out on a grant (one that just made it, one that just missed out).


Ten years later, the group that had not received the grant went onto have more successful careers than the team that had won the government grant.


So those who’d experienced some pain early on in their careers went onto come back stronger than those who didn’t fail.


I couldn’t help but think of how that pain would’ve fuelled their success in later years and how that so encapsulates what I’ve seen in over ten years of trading and watching hundreds of thousands of traders.


Why early successes in trading could hurt you


You may have seen my thoughts on Overconfidence bias before and it got me thinking how much this could spill over into early successes trading.


I’ve seen this far too many times in traders before.


It’s like the story of the tortoise and the hare. It’s the slow and steady trader that wins the race.


The traders I’ve seen who are new to trading will open their accounts, ignore basic risk management and trade gigantic positions on their account and make huge profits on their first few trades. While I love to see it, often they lull themselves into unbelievable amounts of overconfidence and a feeling of invincibility.


They’re the stories you read like “one man makes $1,000,000 trading options on first trade” or “this is how much you would’ve made investing $1 in Google shares since 2004” or “my friend just made $15k betting on AUDUSD” or other financial “junk food” as it should be labelled.  


Because it is too easy in their eyes, they’re always chasing the same early successes they had. 


What I took away from the Nature paper is that the easier we think something is, the more we can fool ourselves into believing something which isn’t true.


Taking the pain


Let me be clear. I’m absolutely not saying that you must lose big to win big. Nor am I saying making money early is bad.  


I’m saying that in my experience, my firm belief (now backed up by some solid research in a different field) is those that suffer early setbacks in their trading are like those who just missed out in their professional lives. In the same vein, if it’s too easy at the start, you can hurt yourself and trick yourself into thinking you’re better than you are.


It’s more like you need to hit some minor lows to hit the highs, but don’t ruin yourself. Call it a bloody nose.


Trading is not some easy game that can be won in the first week or month. Just like you wouldn’t expect to be a pilot after one week of flight training (though you can certainly have the goal!), the same is true for trading.


It’s hard. Very hard. There’s so much to take in and digest. The market is constantly evolving. That’s why you’ll hear statistics like 40% of traders don’t make it. Most people expect too much and give up too soon.


But real success in trading is more like a way of life.


It involves hard work, true grit, hours upon hours of learning and the ability to look and feel wrong many, many times (and often in painful ways both mentally, financially etc).

If you are just starting and you’re shooting the light outs, then maybe that’s not such a good thing. And if you’re struggling, know that you’re not alone.


Far better for you to see it as the challenge that it is. That a little pain is part of the journey and that if it were so easy, everyone would be doing it.


17/02/2020
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Top 10 Hidden Biases Part II

Part II – Hidden Biases in your trading

In Part One, we covered Confirmation bias, recency bias, the endowment effect, the groupthink bias and the gambler’s fallacy.


Today we’ll cover our final five, and I’ll provide you with a handy checklist so you can take 60 seconds and potentially stop yourself from rushing into something catastrophic.


6)    Hindsight bias

You could also call this one the “I knew it all along” effect. How many times have you heard someone say those words in life (not to mention in trading)?


I just knew Euro would fall after the ECB meeting.


Argh, I meant to go long on gold but didn’t get time. I knew it was going up.


We tend to believe that (of course much later than the event itself) that the onset of a past event was entirely predictable and obvious, whereas during the event we were not able to predict it.


Due to another bias (which we will not cover today) called “narrative bias” we tend to want to assign a narrative or a “story” to an event that allows us to believe that events are predictable and that we can somewhat predict or control the future. It allows us to try to make sense of the world around us.


How to overcome: Just stop pretending like you knew what was going to happen. If you didn’t put skin in the game, then you didn’t think it was going to happen!

 

7)    Overconfidence effect


Overconfidence as a trader allows us to believe that we are superior in our trading, which ultimately leads to hubris and poor decision making.


Whether it’s overconfidence on when to trade, what to trade (telling ourselves “sure I could normally trade AUDUSD, but why couldn’t I also be good at trading the South African rand?”) and how to trade a certain product.


We trade larger than we should, hold losers for longer than we should, relax our own risk management policy, become arrogant or complacent in our trading and this all leads to capital losses.


How to overcome: Ask yourself “What could I be wrong about” or “What makes me think I am far superior to all the others out there with this information”? The market will humble you eventually of course, but why not try to do it yourself before you shoot yourself in the foot?


8)    Anchoring


The first bit of information we hear is what we focus on.


If you ever need to negotiate with someone, you’ll be amazed at the power of anchoring with your first offer (Do try it sometime, just not with your friendly forex broker though ;-))


The same applies to trading. We hear a talking head on TV telling us about how the euro is overvalued and is heading for some drastic number that is streets away from today’s price. We can’t get that number out of our head even if we try.


Or let’s say we buy AUDUSD at .7100, close it at .7300 for a decent profit, happy days! The next week, it’s back at .7100 and we immediately are tempted to do the same again, because why not? It’s cheap again and we can repeat history. We rush into it, ignoring the technical break it’s just had or the negative sentiment on Australian Economic Data. We practically feel it’s a bargain at those levels.  


What do we do? The worst part is that we’re usually not even aware of how strong the influence is.


That’s the power of the anchor. We become attached to that information.  


How to overcome: This one is tough to overcome because studies show it can be so hidden in our subconscious without us knowing. Perhaps add to your trading checklist “Was this trade a result of an unknown anchor that I saw or heard?”


 

9) Consistency Bias

Like the sunk cost fallacy, we want to be consistent in our actions.


We’d hate for someone to say to us that we weren’t being fair or that last week we had said we’d do X and now had changed our minds.


Politicians do it all the time as they rigidly stick to a poor policy idea. They’d rather go down with the ship.


Traders are worse because our own desire to be consistent costs us money.


If I am known as a USD bear, and it’s rallying hard – I don’t want to look stupid or inconsistent. That’s why I keep staying bearish despite being 1000 pips from being right! It’ll come back we say. Everyone else is being stupid.


In 2009, 2010, 2011 and probably countless years since the financial crisis, people were always calling for the “double-dip” recession. I fell for it myself personally by believing them in 2009 and 2010 and staying too cautious when I should’ve thrown the house at buying stocks!


We want to feel in control. We want people to see our conviction, even if we’re wrong. Because this is a byproduct of confirmation bias, we’re not likely to seek disconfirming evidence of what we believe. We see what we want to see.


Why? Because sadly consistency is often associated with our intellectual and personal strength. Good traders should be seen as flexible. Open to the idea that they are probably wrong. Yet society thinks an inconsistent person is flaky, confused or a ‘flip-flopper’ on issues – even though we could all benefit from being open-minded to new ideas and opinions!

 

10) The Halo Effect

Last but not least - The halo effect is the final bias we’ll talk about today.


The halo effect means we let our overall impression of someone influence our thinking too greatly.


“But he’s so smart we say”


We idolise the opinions of the legendary hedge fund manager, Ray Dalio or the great investor of our time, Warren Buffet.


We see them on TV or in a Bloomberg article saying now is a buying opportunity or that it’s risk-off and we need to sell.


“If Buffet/Dalio/ is buying/selling now, I’ve gotta too,” we say in our head.


But how smart is that a strategy, really? What might he know that I don’t? What are his investment objectives versus mine? More important – how many times has he said this and actually been wrong?


We don’t know and we shouldn’t try to know. The halo effect blinds to sticking to our own plan and staying in our lane. The more we’re influenced by others, the harder trading becomes.


How to overcome: We must take the opinions of the so-called “Masters of the universe” with a grain of salt. They have different plans than we do. Information that we do or don’t have and so much more. Just because they’ve said this doesn’t make it come true. If only trading were that easy!

 

What do I do now?


OK, so I might have scared you. You are now jumping at shadows and questioning your own trading decisions, believing you have all these secret, hidden disadvantages that you didn’t have until 10 minutes ago.


Do not worry, biases can never be completely avoided. But we can work hard on challenging our opinions in order to make us more successful. Sometimes it’s just taking the time to stop and think.


To help you along the way, we’ve created a possible checklist for making better decisions in your trading.


So, stop, take a breath and ask yourself these 7 questions before you place your next trade.


What’s the rationale for taking this trade? List 3 for and 3 against.


How strong is the evidence behind my decision to trade?


What are the possible unknown unknowns?


Has the recency of information I’ve learned influenced my decision? If so, how much?


 Is this trade following the consensus of the crowd? If so, is that a good thing?


Did I hear this from a famous market commentator/investor? Why is that important?


 If none of questions 1-6 apply, then could any of the other biases above be at work?


 


27/01/2020
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Top 10 Hidden Biases Part I

Your first reaction as you read the subject was thinking: “Yeah, but I’m not biased”

Of course, that’s what you would say!

The biggest problem with biases is that we never think we have any.

Biases are what everyone else has.

What are they and why are they important?

Biases are like shortcuts for your brain. They can have an unusually large impact on how you make decisions in your everyday life, but particularly when it comes to your trading.

To put it simply, your brain has a way of conserving energy by making fast decisions or mental shortcuts in what is known as ‘heuristics’.

The problem is, we often don’t even know that we have them. Even if we know about them, when it comes to trading, we must work hard to challenge our reasoning behind making our decisions.

As common as these biases are, we specifically want to focus on what is called “cognitive” and “emotional” biases.

Because these are so crucial to your trading, we’ve split this guide in two. This is part one.
Biases have been studied across psychology, economics and now into the mainstream of what is called “behavioural” finance. In fact, Richard Thaler, a notable behavioural economist recently won the Nobel prize for his work on the topic!

The sad part is that I know more about this topic because of my own mistakes in trading and so I try to be hyper-aware of rushing into trading decisions without considering the biases below.

The million-dollar question becomes, how many of these have you been a victim of and what can you do to try to prevent them yourself?
 
1)     Confirmation bias

This one is a doozy and for me, the most important of all of them.

If you take nothing else from today, it should be an awareness of confirmation bias.

Confirmation bias means we tend to seek out information only that we agree with.

Ask yourself this question: How many times have you placed a trade then sat there and watched it go against you? Sure, this happens almost every time, but then how often have you then gone out and sought information, headlines or “expert” advice about that currency pair which tells you why you were right and to just stick with it?

I remember many years ago, when I first started trading, I placed a fairly large trade on oil (don’t ask why I made this trade. I had no idea what I was doing and it was too big for my account... Forgive me, I was just a beginner!) but as soon as it went against me I frantically typed “Oil” into Google, and just like that I was looking for any reason to support my original opinion on why oil was due to go through the roof.

To my joy, there was some analyst from ABC Fund manager comforting me with a view that supported my own opinion or perspective. They talked about an undersupply in the market and that oil was sure to go higher. It was 2 am and I was sitting in my lounge room by this stage as I watched my whole account go into jeopardy. This valuable advice that I sought helped to nurse me back to sleep.

I, of course, deviously chose not to click on any article that might tell me I was wrong – I only sought out the information I wanted to hear or see.

Let’s just say that the oil trade I placed went as well as a parachute made of concrete! (Oh and my account was completely wiped out!).

How to overcome it: Stop, ask yourself a question – What information could you be missing about the rationale for this trade? What do the opposing arguments and research say?

2)    Recency bias aka availability heuristic

The “recency bias” or “recency effect” essentially tells us that our recent experience can become the baseline for what is going to happen in the future.

This might mean our recent trade performance such as a recent win or loss impacting us heavily. It might also mean a certain piece of news or information that we recently heard forming the basis for our decision making.

This can have seriously dangerous consequences for us as traders as it undermines our ability to form an objective decision on a trade. Why? Because of our lazy brain only recalling recent information. Whether that’s on our most recent trade or information we found as a barometer for how the next trade will go.

Let’s say you had a losing trade whereby you promised you’d never risk such a great amount of your capital again. You might be a little shy and dial back the risk a bit too much, or you could be the opposite and think you’re George Soros, betting the whole house on the next trade since you just went so poorly on the last. Your thinking is this would get you back to where you were prior to your last trade.

The other way it can creep into your trading is through recent information impacting your decision on why to take a new trade. It might be that you see a brief news headline stating ABC bank’s research on “why the dollar is going to dive this week” earlier in the day and tend to argue with yourself later that night why you think it’s a good idea to follow that trade. I know what you might be thinking: “It’s just a headline… I’d never let this happen to me”. However, our brain likes to take shortcuts to conserve energy. It will do its best to take what it knows and ignores the rest (as we have learned above).

We also have a tendency of the fear of missing out (FOMO as it’s popularly known today) and with this new information, we feel we must put something into action!

How to overcome the bias: As difficult as it may be, you must stop, count to three and ask yourself a few questions.

These could be “why am I making this trade?”, “Does it fit in with what I know?”, “What am I missing here?”, “Have I read something recently about this?”. Better yet, build yourself a checklist with these questions on it!

3)     The Endowment effect / Sunk cost fallacy

The endowment effect means we tend to value something more after we’ve owned it for a while.
In a now-classic study featuring Richard Thaler and Daniel Kahneman (both Nobel prize winners), students were given a mug and were asked how much they would sell it for an equally valued pen as an alternative. The experimenters found that the median price for which they would sell was TWICE as much as they were willing to pay to acquire the mug.

Because of our aversion to losses (also known as prospect theory – another big bias which I’ll cover later), this can have a drastic effect on our trading success. We place a trade on AUDUSD, with a target profit or loss of only 50 pips. Yet when the trade starts to go against us, what’s the first thing we often do? Move our stop loss further out because we “just know it’s going to turn around.” We tell ourselves stories like “The euro is cheap here, it’ll definitely turn around.”

Because we are committed to this trade (and this is somewhat related to the confirmation bias) we value it more just because we own it and because we have already invested in it, it becomes a “sunk cost”.

How to overcome: Fairly obvious advice to start; keep your stop losses and targets where they are. Be more mindful about why you’ve put them at these levels. If it helps you, write down the reasons why you’ve placed your stop and profit there and you can take comfort in understanding your own reasoning.

4) “The Gambler’s fallacy”

The gambler’s fallacy is where we believe that future probabilities are altered by previous events, when in fact, they’re unchanged.

It is called the “gamblers fallacy” due to the often-watched scene of any table game at the casino (e.g. roulette) as it continues landing on black over and over. People see this and think ‘it couldn’t possibly do that again’ and try to bet against it.

Being contrarian is great, don’t get me wrong.

However, as traders and human beings, we tend to believe that if something happens multiple times, it couldn’t happen again. We ignore simple probability.

Let’s say the S&P500 has rallied five days in a row. We place a trade in the belief that “it must be due for a correction” only to watch it rally and stop us out of our position.

How to overcome: It is important to look at the original thinking that led you to this trade. Just because something has moved up or down in a continuous fashion, it does not mean the market will immediately reverse its behaviour and go the other way. Just try catching a falling knife and you’ll know why.

5)     The Groupthink Bias

The “groupthink bias” is our inclination to do or believe things just because others do the same. Also known as the “bandwagon” or “herd behaviour”, it can lead to having a serious trading hangover; ask yourself an odd question like “why on earth did I go long the EURCHF last night?”

After all, you can’t do the same things others do and expect to win.

A recent example was after the US Presidential election. Everyone thought if The Donald got in, it would be a huge negative for the markets and the economy. Stocks fell initially and hard.

If you cashed out then and there because you thought it was going to lead to Armageddon, you made a very expensive mistake!

How to overcome: Sometimes it pays to be contrarian. If everyone is saying it’s going up, consider if going the same way will lead to riches. If everyone is saying it’s going down the toilet, consider if they could be wrong.

Be careful of those bandwagons!

So, which of the above are you most guilty of?

20/01/2020
Beginners
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My Top Five Tools for Traders

Read Time: 5 Minutes 


One of the questions I'm frequently asked is "How do you follow the markets? So, I thought it was time to compile a list of tools I use nearly daily that help me become a better trader.


These are for various experience levels. Oh, and they also happen to be completely free.



Here they are:


1. Babypips.com – Depending on your trading experience, their free forex school is second to none. It covers from beginners to advanced. In fact, these resources are so comprehensive that most brokers I’ve worked for make any new employees do the course from front to back!


2. Forexlive.com – handy website that I personally use and love! It has the most important (and live) news in the currency markets (hence the name). I remember during the Brexit vote that we were glued to their analysis of the markets.


3. Tradingview.com – If you love your charts and technical analysis (fun fact- something like 70% of traders do!) – then TradingView is for you. They have over 4,000,000 users, and the users are all very passionate! It’s not just for currencies either - you can pull up currencies, commodities, indices are more. While I’m personally not TOO much of a tech analysis guy, all my clients rave about TradingView.


4. John Authers' Commentary – To understand the forex markets, you need to understand the bigger macro picture. John is a must-read each day for me. I look forward to his email every day around the EU open. It covers stocks, bonds and what's catching his eye. If you read no other newsletter each day, make it this one.

5. Fusion Markets Economic Calendar– This is the only time we plug ourselves in our post. We used to have Myfxbook in there but we worked hard on finding a really slick calendar for you. Why a calendar? Knowing what big events are happening in the markets is critical. You don’t want to wake up and see the USD has made a 200 pip move and not known there’s been a US interest rate (FOMC) meeting. The Fusion economic calendar will be your friend. You can save the event to your calendar, view the results in real-time and can even see historical price movement and more. 

That’s it for now.

Why so short? The last thing you want is the “analysis paralysis” which comes from digesting 20+ resources. You will get overwhelmed and give up.

Believe me, it was hard for me to get it down to five, but these are my go-to resources, even if you asked me what the best paid subscription-based services are.

There is so much value in these resources, so please use them! Just because they’re free doesn’t mean it’s not great content. As I said, I use this every day myself (except Babypips – I like to think I’ve got the basics down pat) and I hope you do too.

01/09/2019
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